Compendium › Monday Masher › MCD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MCD
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 4 trades in period

+0.00%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,129.53
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$-249.58
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:30:32

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.9/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
6.1/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 40.0/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 25.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$-249.58
Current Value
$11,129.53
Period P&L
$575.79
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+2.58%
Worst Trade
-3.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$88,336.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$575.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$575.79
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $-249.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:55am ET $273.31 40 $11,052.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $264.68 40 $10,704.09 $10,704.09 $-348.80
(-3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:55am ET $273.31 40 $11,052.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $280.36 40 $11,338.00 $10,989.20 +$285.11
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:10am ET $275.00 40 $10,989.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $276.14 40 $11,034.76 $11,034.76 +$45.56
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET $267.69 41 $11,034.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $269.99 41 $11,129.53 $11,129.53 +$94.77
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,129.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,129.53
Total Return: +11.30%
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