Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:55

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
28.4/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 53.3/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 48.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,129.08
Current Value
$14,610.99
Period P&L
$3,481.91
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+12.76%
Worst Trade
-10.16%
Avg Trade Return
+3.04%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$229,200.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,481.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,481.91
Gross Return
+31.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $11,129.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $1,116.98 10 $11,129.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,003.49 10 $9,998.32 $9,998.32 $-1,130.76
(-10.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $986.00 10 $9,998.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $989.00 10 $10,028.77 $10,028.77 +$30.45
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $916.62 11 $10,028.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $853.66 11 $9,339.91 $9,339.91 $-688.86
(-6.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:40am ET $879.54 11 $9,339.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $990.24 11 $10,515.39 $10,515.39 +$1,175.48
(+12.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:00am ET $892.26 12 $10,515.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $873.65 12 $10,296.07 $10,296.07 $-219.32
(-2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $782.70 13 $10,296.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $882.57 13 $11,609.89 $11,609.89 +$1,313.82
(+12.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $859.09 14 $11,609.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $947.58 14 $12,805.76 $12,805.76 +$1,195.87
(+10.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $912.27 14 $12,805.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $931.65 14 $13,077.87 $13,077.87 +$272.11
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 14 $13,077.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $977.88 14 $14,058.34 $14,058.34 +$980.47
(+7.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:35am ET $1,038.77 14 $14,058.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,079.60 14 $14,610.99 $14,610.99 +$552.65
(+3.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,610.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,610.99
Total Return: +46.11%
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