Compendium › Monday Masher › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 4 trades in period

+1.55%
Last 3 Months Return
$17,362.91
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$17,097.49
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 15:43:09

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 62.8/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 51.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,097.49
Current Value
$17,362.91
Period P&L
$265.42
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+1.88%
Worst Trade
-1.47%
Avg Trade Return
+0.39%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$137,198.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$265.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$265.42
Gross Return
+1.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $17,097.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:30am ET $392.92 44 $17,097.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $387.13 44 $16,845.54 $16,845.54 $-251.95
(-1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $366.52 46 $16,845.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $373.40 46 $17,161.98 $17,161.98 +$316.44
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $411.65 42 $17,161.98 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $416.45 42 $17,361.68 $17,361.68 +$199.70
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET $423.70 41 $17,361.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.73 41 $17,362.91 $17,362.91 +$1.23
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,362.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,362.91
Total Return: +73.63%
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