Compendium › Monday Masher › VRTX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VRTX
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 9 trades in period

+2.45%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,195.80
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$14,832.56
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
4.7/15
Profit Factor
6.6/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 66.7/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 58.7

30-Day Momentum

33
+6.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
5.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 53.7 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,832.56
Current Value
$15,195.80
Period P&L
$363.24
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+4.35%
Worst Trade
-3.54%
Avg Trade Return
+0.69%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$261,443.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$363.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$363.24
Gross Return
+2.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $14,832.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:50am ET $458.29 31 $14,324.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $474.87 31 $14,842.56 $14,842.56 +$518.38
(+3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $517.67 29 $14,842.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $499.35 29 $14,317.15 $14,317.15 $-525.41
(-3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $478.91 30 $14,317.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $477.08 30 $14,262.44 $14,262.44 $-54.71
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $480.35 30 $14,262.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $472.56 30 $14,031.14 $14,031.14 $-231.30
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:55am ET $472.11 30 $14,031.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $484.70 30 $14,405.32 $14,405.32 +$374.18
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 10:30am ET $529.07 27 $14,405.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $525.52 27 $14,308.80 $14,308.80 $-96.52
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $533.70 27 $14,308.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $556.90 27 $14,930.95 $14,930.95 +$622.15
(+4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:30am ET $516.19 29 $14,930.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $513.85 29 $14,863.26 $14,863.26 $-67.69
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $505.06 29 $14,863.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $516.36 29 $15,195.80 $15,195.80 +$332.54
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,195.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,195.80
Total Return: +51.96%
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