Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:29:58

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 7.6/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 6.6

30-Day Momentum

35
+4.6%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
3.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.7 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,498
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,691.25
Current Value
$9,234.82
Period P&L
$543.56
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+7.15%
Worst Trade
-2.95%
Avg Trade Return
+1.24%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$215,168.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$543.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$543.56
Gross Return
+6.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $8,691.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:20am ET $294.38 27 $7,998.91
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $315.44 27 $8,571.02 $8,571.02 +$572.11
(+7.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET $321.59 27 $8,571.02
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $336.00 27 $8,955.08 $8,955.08 +$384.06
(+4.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $336.59 27 $8,955.08
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $345.46 27 $9,191.21 $9,191.21 +$236.13
(+2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET $340.89 27 $9,191.21
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $340.28 27 $9,174.76 $9,174.76 $-16.45
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $327.03 28 $9,174.76
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $317.39 28 $8,904.45 $8,904.45 $-270.31
(-2.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET $324.29 27 $8,904.45
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $330.05 27 $9,062.75 $9,062.75 +$158.30
(+1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $377.23 24 $9,062.75
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.29 24 $8,799.92 $8,799.92 $-262.83
(-2.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:40am ET $367.09 24 $8,799.92
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $368.33 24 $8,829.65 $8,829.65 +$29.73
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $344.11 26 $8,829.65
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $355.79 26 $9,129.35 $9,129.35 +$299.70
(+3.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:35am ET $346.75 26 $9,129.35
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.99 26 $9,214.65 $9,214.65 +$85.30
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:35am ET $352.43 26 $9,214.65
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.36 26 $9,134.38 $9,134.38 $-80.27
(-0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $342.86 27 $9,134.38
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $346.63 27 $9,234.82 $9,234.82 +$100.44
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,234.82
Net Profit/Loss: $-765.18
Total Return: -7.65%
Back to Monday Masher