Compendium › Monday Masher › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 23 trades in period

+9.90%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,399.80
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$4,913.37
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:22:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-8.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,913.37
Current Value
$5,399.80
Period P&L
$486.44
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
10 / 13
Best Trade
+12.10%
Worst Trade
-6.77%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$250,553.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$486.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$486.44
Gross Return
+9.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $4,913.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $160.52 31 $4,913.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $174.87 31 $5,352.46 $5,352.46 +$439.09
(+8.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $174.71 31 $5,352.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $174.65 31 $5,350.62 $5,350.62 $-1.84
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $164.85 32 $5,350.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $184.29 32 $5,981.41 $5,981.41 +$630.79
(+11.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $200.56 30 $5,981.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $195.68 30 $5,835.84 $5,835.84 $-145.57
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $199.22 29 $5,835.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $194.41 29 $5,694.97 $5,694.97 $-140.87
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:50am ET $203.50 28 $5,694.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $197.55 28 $5,528.46 $5,528.46 $-166.51
(-2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $213.60 26 $5,528.46 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $207.49 26 $5,370.19 $5,370.19 $-158.27
(-2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $190.26 28 $5,370.19 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $193.15 28 $5,451.70 $5,451.70 +$81.51
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $177.21 31 $5,451.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $173.98 31 $5,352.42 $5,352.42 $-99.28
(-1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $162.28 33 $5,352.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $155.56 33 $5,130.88 $5,130.88 $-221.54
(-4.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $171.78 30 $5,130.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $169.81 30 $5,072.04 $5,072.04 $-58.84
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:35am ET $169.28 30 $5,072.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $158.38 30 $4,745.45 $4,745.45 $-326.59
(-6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $145.82 33 $4,745.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $146.18 33 $4,757.00 $4,757.00 +$11.55
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $161.54 29 $4,757.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $163.98 29 $4,828.85 $4,828.85 +$71.85
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $156.80 31 $4,828.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $161.54 31 $4,974.67 $4,974.67 +$145.82
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:45am ET $156.93 32 $4,974.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $175.92 32 $5,576.82 $5,576.82 +$602.16
(+12.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $161.86 34 $5,576.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $167.90 34 $5,784.93 $5,784.93 +$208.11
(+3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $144.02 40 $5,784.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $151.73 40 $6,094.73 $6,094.73 +$309.80
(+5.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $151.14 40 $6,094.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $147.94 40 $5,965.69 $5,965.69 $-129.04
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:35am ET $149.00 40 $5,965.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $146.71 40 $5,874.00 $5,874.00 $-91.69
(-1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:10am ET $186.42 32 $5,874.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.19 32 $5,898.26 $5,898.26 +$24.26
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:30am ET $185.28 32 $5,898.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $172.74 32 $5,498.90 $5,498.90 $-399.36
(-6.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:45am ET $204.75 27 $5,498.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $201.06 27 $5,399.80 $5,399.80 $-99.10
(-1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,399.80
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,600.20
Total Return: -46.00%
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