Compendium › Monday Masher › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 23 trades in period

-8.72%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,528.46
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$6,056.39
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:03:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 3.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

13
+3.3%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.3 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,364
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,056.39
Current Value
$5,528.46
Period P&L
$-527.93
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.50

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
8 / 15
Best Trade
+11.79%
Worst Trade
-8.74%
Avg Trade Return
-0.30%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$249,841.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-527.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-527.93
Gross Return
-8.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $6,056.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET $316.32 19 $6,056.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $303.96 19 $5,819.74 $5,819.74 $-236.65
(-3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $271.84 21 $5,819.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $261.67 21 $5,602.12 $5,602.12 $-217.62
(-3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $259.29 22 $5,602.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $263.21 22 $5,686.92 $5,686.92 +$84.80
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 10:30am ET $272.55 21 $5,686.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $277.37 21 $5,787.60 $5,787.60 +$100.68
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $263.46 22 $5,787.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $252.62 22 $5,549.58 $5,549.58 $-238.02
(-4.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:00pm ET $248.50 22 $5,549.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $242.39 22 $5,413.13 $5,413.13 $-136.45
(-2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 10:30am ET $235.25 23 $5,413.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $231.60 23 $5,329.26 $5,329.26 $-83.87
(-1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $255.30 21 $5,329.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $250.54 21 $5,230.00 $5,230.00 $-99.26
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $243.78 21 $5,230.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $252.67 21 $5,420.62 $5,420.62 +$190.62
(+3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $214.95 25 $5,420.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $210.89 25 $5,318.21 $5,318.21 $-102.41
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $189.19 28 $5,318.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $179.74 28 $5,052.57 $5,052.57 $-265.64
(-5.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $159.67 32 $5,052.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $162.56 32 $5,144.02 $5,144.02 +$91.45
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $164.64 31 $5,144.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $162.03 31 $5,062.47 $5,062.47 $-81.55
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $182.63 28 $5,062.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.22 28 $5,051.24 $5,051.24 $-11.23
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:15am ET $193.35 26 $5,051.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $197.05 26 $5,147.90 $5,147.90 +$96.66
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 11:55am ET $201.96 25 $5,147.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $211.23 25 $5,384.21 $5,384.21 +$236.31
(+4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:45am ET $198.86 27 $5,384.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $181.47 27 $4,913.37 $4,913.37 $-470.84
(-8.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $160.52 31 $4,913.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $174.87 31 $5,352.46 $5,352.46 +$439.09
(+8.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $174.71 31 $5,352.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $174.65 31 $5,350.62 $5,350.62 $-1.84
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $164.85 32 $5,350.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $184.29 32 $5,981.41 $5,981.41 +$630.79
(+11.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $200.56 30 $5,981.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $195.68 30 $5,835.84 $5,835.84 $-145.57
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $199.22 29 $5,835.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $194.41 29 $5,694.97 $5,694.97 $-140.87
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:50am ET $203.50 28 $5,694.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $197.55 28 $5,528.46 $5,528.46 $-166.51
(-2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,528.46
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,471.54
Total Return: -44.72%
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