Compendium › Monday Masher › JNJ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JNJ
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 5 trades in period

+8.24%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,728.82
Current Value
80%
Win Rate
$9,911.70
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:46:21

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.1/35
Total Return
7.6/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 28.0/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 21.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,709
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,911.70
Current Value
$10,728.82
Period P&L
$817.12
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.59

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+4.03%
Worst Trade
-0.61%
Avg Trade Return
+1.61%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$103,329.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$817.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$817.12
Gross Return
+8.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $9,911.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:55am ET $203.21 49 $9,911.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $206.92 49 $10,092.66 $10,092.66 +$180.96
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $204.23 49 $10,092.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $205.70 49 $10,165.30 $10,165.30 +$72.64
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:40am ET $228.52 44 $10,165.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $237.74 44 $10,575.44 $10,575.44 +$410.14
(+4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:55am ET $231.95 46 $10,575.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $230.53 46 $10,510.92 $10,510.92 $-64.52
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $225.55 47 $10,510.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $230.23 47 $10,728.82 $10,728.82 +$217.90
(+2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,728.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$728.82
Total Return: +7.29%
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