Compendium › Monday Masher › LLY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LLY
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 16 trades in period

+3.67%
Last 6 Months Return
$16,309.54
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$15,731.74
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 10:50:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 67.4/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 60.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,485
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,731.74
Current Value
$16,309.54
Period P&L
$577.80
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
9 / 7
Best Trade
+6.40%
Worst Trade
-6.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$518,353.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$577.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$577.80
Gross Return
+3.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $15,731.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:00am ET $967.19 16 $15,731.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,023.15 16 $16,642.04 $16,642.04 +$910.30
(+5.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $1,010.44 16 $16,642.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,042.68 16 $17,173.04 $17,173.04 +$531.00
(+3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET $1,053.92 16 $17,173.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $1,075.47 16 $17,524.19 $17,524.19 +$351.15
(+2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:35am ET $1,064.14 16 $17,524.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,013.85 16 $16,696.02 $16,696.02 $-828.17
(-4.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 10:10am ET $997.07 17 $16,696.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,009.17 17 $16,898.64 $16,898.64 +$202.62
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:35am ET $1,067.42 16 $16,898.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,077.51 16 $17,058.46 $17,058.46 +$159.82
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET $1,058.83 16 $17,058.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,084.68 16 $17,474.88 $17,474.88 +$416.42
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,056.05 17 $17,474.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,023.52 17 $16,936.59 $16,936.59 $-538.29
(-3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,040.94 16 $16,936.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,019.98 16 $16,595.56 $16,595.56 $-341.03
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET $1,064.47 16 $16,595.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,038.95 16 $16,197.69 $16,197.69 $-397.87
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1,037.38 16 $16,197.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $981.36 16 $15,322.99 $15,322.99 $-874.70
(-5.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET $980.38 16 $15,322.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $918.08 16 $14,349.19 $14,349.19 $-973.80
(-6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $915.65 16 $14,349.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $899.01 16 $14,088.42 $14,088.42 $-260.77
(-1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $886.85 16 $14,088.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $936.04 16 $14,869.85 $14,869.85 +$781.43
(+5.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $926.68 16 $14,869.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $955.28 16 $15,328.70 $15,328.70 +$458.85
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:35am ET $879.24 17 $15,328.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $935.50 17 $16,309.54 $16,309.54 +$980.84
(+6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,309.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,309.54
Total Return: +63.10%
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