Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:53:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 5.1/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,779.91
Current Value
$9,551.19
Period P&L
$-228.72
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
1 / 6
Best Trade
+2.01%
Worst Trade
-1.86%
Avg Trade Return
-0.33%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$133,721.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-228.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$-228.72
Gross Return
-2.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $9,779.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $490.40 20 $9,779.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $481.85 20 $9,609.40 $9,609.40 $-170.51
(-1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:20am ET $487.21 20 $9,609.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $486.87 20 $9,602.60 $9,602.60 $-6.80
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:45am ET $489.51 20 $9,602.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $489.04 20 $9,593.48 $9,593.48 $-9.12
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $531.83 18 $9,593.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $521.94 18 $9,415.07 $9,415.07 $-178.41
(-1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:30am ET $575.39 16 $9,415.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $574.02 16 $9,392.73 $9,392.73 $-22.34
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:10am ET $563.85 17 $9,392.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $575.21 17 $9,581.80 $9,581.80 +$189.07
(+2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $568.16 17 $9,581.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $566.34 17 $9,551.19 $9,551.19 $-30.61
(-0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,551.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-448.81
Total Return: -4.49%
Back to Monday Masher