Compendium › Monday Masher › MDT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MDT
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 3 trades in period

-3.38%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,236.31
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,594.72
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:42:30

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 54%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
4.4/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 15.9/100
× Confidence 0.54 = 8.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (54%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,216
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,594.72
Current Value
$10,236.31
Period P&L
$-358.41
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+0.59%
Worst Trade
-2.36%
Avg Trade Return
-0.78%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$62,774.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-358.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-358.41
Gross Return
-3.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $10,594.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:05am ET $89.53 117 $10,482.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $90.06 117 $10,544.37 $10,544.37 +$62.05
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:50am ET $97.10 109 $10,544.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $96.54 109 $10,483.56 $10,483.56 $-60.81
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $89.89 117 $10,483.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.77 117 $10,236.31 $10,236.31 $-247.25
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,236.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$236.31
Total Return: +2.36%
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