Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:02:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.3/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
9.8/15
Profit Factor
7.0/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 61.4/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 52.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,738.53
Current Value
$13,620.29
Period P&L
$1,881.76
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.55

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+4.30%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
+1.39%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$286,840.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,881.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,881.76
Gross Return
+16.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $11,738.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $157.72 74 $11,738.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $164.50 74 $12,243.14 $12,243.14 +$504.61
(+4.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $175.70 70 $12,243.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $183.02 70 $12,753.23 $12,753.23 +$510.09
(+4.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET $189.80 67 $12,753.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $189.11 67 $12,706.87 $12,706.87 $-46.36
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $187.71 68 $12,706.87 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $189.38 68 $12,820.26 $12,820.26 +$113.39
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:50am ET $192.42 67 $12,820.26 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $189.45 67 $12,622.38 $12,622.38 $-197.88
(-1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $208.82 60 $12,622.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $215.01 60 $12,996.54 $12,996.54 +$374.16
(+3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 10:15am ET $220.49 59 $12,996.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $228.05 59 $13,442.46 $13,442.46 +$445.92
(+3.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:30am ET $213.26 63 $13,442.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $216.40 63 $13,640.06 $13,640.06 +$197.60
(+1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $214.31 64 $13,640.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $211.66 64 $13,471.40 $13,471.40 $-168.66
(-1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:45am ET $208.45 65 $13,471.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $217.31 65 $14,044.33 $14,044.33 +$572.93
(+4.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $211.97 66 $14,044.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $205.57 66 $13,620.29 $13,620.29 $-424.04
(-3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,620.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,620.29
Total Return: +36.20%
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