Compendium › Monday Masher › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-12-21 to present • 17 trades in period

+118.43%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,129.08
Current Value
76%
Win Rate
$5,094.92
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 15:43:11

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.9/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 25.8/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 22.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,102
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,094.92
Current Value
$11,129.08
Period P&L
$6,034.16
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
3.41

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
13 / 4
Best Trade
+13.16%
Worst Trade
-15.08%
Avg Trade Return
+4.95%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$260,045.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,034.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,034.16
Gross Return
+118.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+118.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $5,094.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:45am ET $269.54 19 $5,094.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $284.79 19 $5,383.28 $5,383.28 +$288.36
(+5.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $389.13 14 $5,383.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $435.79 14 $6,028.86 $6,028.86 +$645.58
(+12.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $372.10 16 $6,028.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.88 16 $6,705.79 $6,705.79 +$676.93
(+11.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:50am ET $419.30 16 $6,705.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $414.09 16 $6,622.55 $6,622.55 $-83.24
(-1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET $402.79 16 $6,622.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $397.02 16 $6,527.68 $6,527.68 $-94.87
(-1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $364.41 18 $6,527.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $405.32 18 $7,260.50 $7,260.50 +$732.82
(+11.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $439.55 17 $7,260.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $444.24 17 $7,337.97 $7,337.97 +$77.47
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:20am ET $419.13 18 $7,337.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $355.92 18 $6,231.31 $6,231.31 $-1,106.66
(-15.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $345.18 18 $6,231.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.37 18 $6,613.75 $6,613.75 +$382.44
(+6.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $376.27 18 $6,613.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $421.60 18 $7,410.52 $7,410.52 +$796.77
(+12.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $415.50 18 $7,410.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $455.74 18 $8,128.21 $8,128.21 +$717.69
(+9.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:05am ET $447.05 18 $8,128.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.98 18 $8,708.65 $8,708.65 +$580.44
(+7.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:55am ET $517.91 17 $8,708.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $515.12 17 $8,661.82 $8,661.82 $-46.83
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $571.86 15 $8,661.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $647.11 15 $9,801.66 $9,801.66 +$1,139.84
(+13.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:30am ET $770.80 13 $9,801.66 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $781.55 13 $9,938.36 $9,938.36 +$136.70
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:00am ET $715.19 14 $9,938.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $759.21 14 $10,550.07 $10,550.07 +$611.71
(+6.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $939.84 11 $10,550.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $991.42 11 $11,129.08 $11,129.08 +$579.01
(+5.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,129.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,129.08
Total Return: +11.29%
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