HD Monday Masher's Analysis
to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 64 trades executed
-8.74%
2 Years Return
$8,459.90
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$9,270.24
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
6.5/100
× Confidence 0.85
= 5.5
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
45,257
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
524 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,270.24
Current Value
$8,459.90
Total P&L
$-810.34
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
51
Winners / Losers
24 /
27
Best Trade
+5.17%
Worst Trade
-8.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$965,941.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-810.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-810.34
Gross Return
-8.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.74%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 524 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $9,270.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2024 10:35am ET | $411.51 | 23 | $9,270.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2024 3:55pm ET | $402.38 | 23 | $9,064.57 | $9,064.57 |
$-205.67 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 11:55am ET | $425.56 | 21 | $9,064.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 29, 2024 1:00pm ET | $429.13 | 21 | $9,140.61 | $9,140.61 |
+$76.04 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $426.26 | 21 | $9,140.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2024 3:55pm ET | $426.71 | 21 | $9,150.26 | $9,150.26 |
+$9.65 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2024 9:45am ET | $387.25 | 24 | $9,150.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 27, 2024 3:55pm ET | $393.03 | 24 | $9,286.95 | $9,286.95 |
+$136.69 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $389.15 | 24 | $9,286.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $389.15 | 24 | $9,286.95 | $9,286.95 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 10:55am ET | $389.87 | 24 | $9,286.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $409.42 | 24 | $9,752.64 | $9,752.64 |
+$465.69 (+5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $405.74 | 24 | $9,752.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $414.14 | 24 | $9,954.46 | $9,954.46 |
+$201.82 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $379.52 | 26 | $9,954.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $390.55 | 26 | $10,243.77 | $10,243.77 |
+$289.31 (+2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 3:30pm ET | $387.62 | 26 | $10,243.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $381.63 | 26 | $10,085.47 | $10,085.47 |
$-158.30 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 12:05pm ET | $378.74 | 27 | $10,085.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $347.25 | 27 | $9,246.92 | $9,246.92 |
$-838.55 (-8.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $336.41 | 27 | $9,246.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $353.28 | 27 | $9,710.77 | $9,710.77 |
+$463.85 (+5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $352.12 | 28 | $9,710.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $359.61 | 28 | $9,917.33 | $9,917.33 |
+$206.56 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:40am ET | $360.43 | 28 | $9,917.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $364.81 | 28 | $10,037.85 | $10,037.85 |
+$120.52 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $376.41 | 27 | $10,037.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $366.14 | 27 | $9,763.98 | $9,763.98 |
$-273.87 (-2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $363.29 | 27 | $9,763.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $369.35 | 27 | $9,926.85 | $9,926.85 |
+$162.87 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 11:40am ET | $352.94 | 28 | $9,926.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $349.84 | 28 | $9,839.66 | $9,839.66 |
$-87.19 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 10:30am ET | $385.87 | 25 | $9,839.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $400.30 | 25 | $10,207.50 | $10,207.50 |
+$367.84 (+3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 10:25am ET | $395.20 | 26 | $10,207.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $397.75 | 26 | $10,273.49 | $10,273.49 |
+$65.99 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $409.01 | 25 | $10,273.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $407.58 | 25 | $10,237.68 | $10,237.68 |
$-35.81 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 9:35am ET | $418.47 | 24 | $10,237.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $417.55 | 24 | $10,215.17 | $10,215.17 |
$-22.51 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $411.41 | 25 | $10,215.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $407.48 | 25 | $10,117.59 | $10,117.59 |
$-97.58 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 9:45am ET | $406.40 | 25 | $10,117.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $395.01 | 25 | $9,834.03 | $9,834.03 |
$-283.56 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $391.93 | 25 | $9,834.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $377.83 | 25 | $9,480.24 | $9,480.24 |
$-353.79 (-3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 11:00am ET | $382.96 | 25 | $9,480.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $379.54 | 25 | $9,395.70 | $9,395.70 |
$-84.54 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:55am ET | $375.02 | 25 | $9,395.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $369.07 | 25 | $9,246.63 | $9,246.63 |
$-149.07 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $366.71 | 25 | $9,246.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $368.10 | 25 | $9,281.68 | $9,281.68 |
+$35.05 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $359.60 | 26 | $9,281.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $332.44 | 26 | $8,580.77 | $8,580.77 |
$-700.91 (-7.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $339.37 | 25 | $8,580.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET | $356.92 | 25 | $9,024.51 | $9,024.51 |
+$443.74 (+5.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $347.85 | 26 | $9,024.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $357.64 | 26 | $9,278.59 | $9,278.59 |
+$254.08 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.17 | 27 | $9,278.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $359.51 | 27 | $9,720.39 | $9,720.39 |
+$441.80 (+4.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $380.45 | 26 | $9,720.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $390.22 | 26 | $9,970.01 | $9,970.01 |
+$249.62 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $376.18 | 27 | $9,970.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $375.48 | 27 | $9,951.46 | $9,951.46 |
$-18.55 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $374.97 | 27 | $9,951.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $362.98 | 27 | $9,633.39 | $9,633.39 |
$-318.07 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $350.36 | 27 | $9,633.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $339.77 | 27 | $9,342.30 | $9,342.30 |
$-291.09 (-3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $332.94 | 28 | $9,342.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $336.92 | 28 | $9,453.98 | $9,453.98 |
+$111.68 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $345.15 | 27 | $9,453.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $339.70 | 27 | $9,304.56 | $9,304.56 |
$-149.42 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $333.51 | 28 | $9,304.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $329.56 | 28 | $9,194.36 | $9,194.36 |
$-110.20 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.31 | 29 | $9,194.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $323.18 | 29 | $9,276.74 | $9,276.74 |
+$82.38 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $313.74 | 30 | $9,276.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $304.11 | 30 | $8,991.85 | $8,991.85 |
$-284.89 (-3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $312.52 | 29 | $8,991.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $310.01 | 29 | $8,919.49 | $8,919.49 |
$-72.36 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $332.76 | 27 | $8,919.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $334.32 | 27 | $8,961.31 | $8,961.31 |
+$41.82 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $327.94 | 27 | $8,961.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $344.81 | 27 | $9,422.30 | $9,422.30 |
+$460.99 (+5.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $350.70 | 27 | $9,422.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $337.98 | 27 | $9,080.42 | $9,080.42 |
$-341.88 (-3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $340.21 | 27 | $9,080.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $347.85 | 27 | $9,284.34 | $9,284.34 |
+$203.92 (+2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $334.80 | 28 | $9,284.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $324.67 | 28 | $9,003.56 | $9,003.56 |
$-280.78 (-3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $336.67 | 27 | $9,003.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $349.34 | 27 | $9,342.39 | $9,342.39 |
+$338.83 (+3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $349.70 | 27 | $9,342.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $341.26 | 27 | $9,116.78 | $9,116.78 |
$-225.61 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $335.35 | 27 | $9,116.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $334.42 | 27 | $9,091.43 | $9,091.43 |
$-25.35 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $337.35 | 27 | $9,091.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $328.26 | 27 | $8,846.39 | $8,846.39 |
$-245.04 (-2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $326.39 | 27 | $8,846.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $317.88 | 27 | $8,615.74 | $8,615.74 |
$-230.65 (-2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $296.91 | 29 | $8,615.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $291.54 | 29 | $8,459.90 | $8,459.90 |
$-155.84 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,459.90
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,540.10
Total Return:
-15.40%