MS Monday Masher's Analysis
to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 53 trades executed
+23.81%
2 Years Return
$13,620.29
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$11,000.89
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
53
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
25.3/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
9.8/15
Profit Factor
7.0/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
61.4/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 52.8
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,867
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
521 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$11,000.89
Current Value
$13,620.29
Total P&L
$2,619.40
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
42
Winners / Losers
26 /
16
Best Trade
+4.67%
Worst Trade
-7.79%
Avg Trade Return
+0.54%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$963,846.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,619.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,619.40
Gross Return
+23.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.81%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 521 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $11,000.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2024 9:35am ET | $118.88 | 93 | $11,000.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2024 3:55pm ET | $118.32 | 93 | $10,949.07 | $10,949.07 |
$-51.82 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 10:35am ET | $134.30 | 82 | $10,949.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2024 3:55pm ET | $131.26 | 82 | $10,701.63 | $10,701.63 |
$-247.44 (-2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 10:50am ET | $128.40 | 83 | $10,701.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2024 3:55pm ET | $126.78 | 83 | $10,566.61 | $10,566.61 |
$-135.02 (-1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $125.19 | 84 | $10,566.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2024 3:55pm ET | $125.78 | 84 | $10,616.41 | $10,616.41 |
+$49.80 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $135.78 | 78 | $10,616.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $138.52 | 78 | $10,830.65 | $10,830.65 |
+$214.24 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $135.56 | 80 | $10,830.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $136.75 | 80 | $10,925.73 | $10,925.73 |
+$95.08 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $138.73 | 79 | $10,925.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $137.81 | 79 | $10,853.28 | $10,853.28 |
$-72.45 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $130.12 | 83 | $10,853.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $129.63 | 83 | $10,812.41 | $10,812.41 |
$-40.87 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 11:40am ET | $132.00 | 82 | $10,812.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $121.72 | 82 | $9,970.35 | $9,970.35 |
$-842.06 (-7.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $115.39 | 86 | $9,970.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $112.04 | 86 | $9,680.89 | $9,680.89 |
$-289.46 (-2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $113.42 | 85 | $9,680.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $115.70 | 85 | $9,875.93 | $9,875.93 |
+$195.04 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $95.83 | 103 | $9,875.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $100.31 | 103 | $10,337.62 | $10,337.62 |
+$461.69 (+4.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 11:25am ET | $109.34 | 95 | $10,337.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $110.43 | 95 | $10,440.67 | $10,440.67 |
+$103.05 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $107.87 | 97 | $10,440.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $110.37 | 97 | $10,683.14 | $10,683.14 |
+$242.47 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2025 11:20am ET | $115.83 | 92 | $10,683.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $116.18 | 92 | $10,715.42 | $10,715.42 |
+$32.28 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 10:35am ET | $126.81 | 84 | $10,715.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $129.34 | 84 | $10,929.20 | $10,929.20 |
+$213.78 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $130.68 | 84 | $10,929.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $129.13 | 84 | $10,799.57 | $10,799.57 |
$-129.63 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:45am ET | $126.70 | 85 | $10,799.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $128.67 | 85 | $10,967.49 | $10,967.49 |
+$167.92 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $158.56 | 69 | $10,967.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $160.76 | 69 | $11,119.66 | $11,119.66 |
+$152.17 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 10:05am ET | $155.19 | 72 | $11,119.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $155.98 | 72 | $11,176.27 | $11,176.27 |
+$56.61 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:50am ET | $162.29 | 69 | $11,176.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $163.99 | 69 | $11,293.34 | $11,293.34 |
+$117.07 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 11:25am ET | $163.96 | 69 | $11,293.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $166.50 | 69 | $11,468.29 | $11,468.29 |
+$174.95 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 2:10pm ET | $160.61 | 71 | $11,468.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $159.81 | 71 | $11,411.17 | $11,411.17 |
$-57.12 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 12:20pm ET | $176.94 | 64 | $11,411.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $178.87 | 64 | $11,535.64 | $11,535.64 |
+$124.47 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 10:20am ET | $180.06 | 64 | $11,535.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $179.07 | 64 | $11,472.22 | $11,472.22 |
$-63.42 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.52 | 62 | $11,472.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $182.77 | 62 | $11,363.42 | $11,363.42 |
$-108.80 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $172.53 | 66 | $11,363.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $168.77 | 66 | $11,115.77 | $11,115.77 |
$-247.65 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.33 | 68 | $11,115.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $165.98 | 68 | $11,296.12 | $11,296.12 |
+$180.35 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.97 | 72 | $11,296.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $160.85 | 72 | $11,501.71 | $11,501.71 |
+$205.59 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $155.44 | 74 | $11,501.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $158.44 | 74 | $11,723.69 | $11,723.69 |
+$221.98 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $165.85 | 71 | $11,723.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $166.06 | 71 | $11,738.53 | $11,738.53 |
+$14.84 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $157.72 | 74 | $11,738.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $164.50 | 74 | $12,243.14 | $12,243.14 |
+$504.61 (+4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.70 | 70 | $12,243.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $183.02 | 70 | $12,753.23 | $12,753.23 |
+$510.09 (+4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET | $189.80 | 67 | $12,753.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $189.11 | 67 | $12,706.87 | $12,706.87 |
$-46.36 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $187.71 | 68 | $12,706.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $189.38 | 68 | $12,820.26 | $12,820.26 |
+$113.39 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 10:50am ET | $192.42 | 67 | $12,820.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $189.45 | 67 | $12,622.38 | $12,622.38 |
$-197.88 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 12:35pm ET | $208.82 | 60 | $12,622.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $215.01 | 60 | $12,996.54 | $12,996.54 |
+$374.16 (+3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $220.49 | 59 | $12,996.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $228.05 | 59 | $13,442.46 | $13,442.46 |
+$445.92 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $213.26 | 63 | $13,442.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $216.40 | 63 | $13,640.06 | $13,640.06 |
+$197.60 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $214.31 | 64 | $13,640.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $211.66 | 64 | $13,471.40 | $13,471.40 |
$-168.66 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $208.45 | 65 | $13,471.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $217.31 | 65 | $14,044.33 | $14,044.33 |
+$572.93 (+4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.97 | 66 | $14,044.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $205.57 | 66 | $13,620.29 | $13,620.29 |
$-424.04 (-3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,620.29
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,620.29
Total Return:
+36.20%