Compendium › Monday Masher › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 25 trades in period

+10.15%
Year to Date Return
$18,998.87
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$17,248.08
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:37:06

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.3/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 61.7/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 59.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,092
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$17,248.08
Current Value
$18,998.87
Period P&L
$1,750.79
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.54

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
11 / 14
Best Trade
+11.55%
Worst Trade
-7.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.51%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$882,320.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,750.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,750.79
Gross Return
+10.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $17,248.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET $339.20 51 $17,248.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $332.40 51 $16,902.30 $16,902.30 $-345.78
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:30am ET $347.65 49 $16,902.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $343.06 49 $16,679.14 $16,679.14 $-223.16
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET $322.63 52 $16,679.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $330.75 52 $17,098.92 $17,098.92 +$419.78
(+2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $347.85 49 $17,098.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $331.05 49 $16,273.33 $16,273.33 $-825.59
(-4.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $334.60 49 $16,273.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $321.34 49 $15,628.43 $15,628.43 $-644.90
(-4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $309.36 51 $15,628.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $331.52 51 $16,748.17 $16,748.17 +$1,119.74
(+7.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $327.32 51 $16,748.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $336.15 51 $17,200.50 $17,200.50 +$452.33
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $320.21 54 $17,200.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $309.52 54 $16,626.77 $16,626.77 $-573.73
(-3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $298.41 56 $16,626.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $314.04 56 $17,497.64 $17,497.64 +$870.87
(+5.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:05am ET $400.14 44 $17,497.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $419.67 44 $18,351.66 $18,351.66 +$854.02
(+4.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $418.25 44 $18,351.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $416.63 44 $18,280.74 $18,280.74 $-70.92
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $418.59 44 $18,280.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.21 44 $18,045.78 $18,045.78 $-234.96
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:35am ET $426.06 42 $18,045.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $440.86 42 $18,672.63 $18,672.63 +$626.85
(+3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $421.44 44 $18,672.63 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $414.20 44 $18,351.85 $18,351.85 $-320.78
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:40pm ET $394.17 47 $18,351.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $386.80 47 $18,008.49 $18,008.49 $-343.36
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:50am ET $390.05 46 $18,008.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $411.51 46 $18,999.54 $18,999.54 +$991.05
(+5.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:40am ET $403.28 47 $18,999.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $379.33 47 $17,871.19 $17,871.19 $-1,128.35
(-5.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:40am ET $403.28 47 $18,999.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $374.00 47 $17,620.09 $16,491.74 $-1,379.45
(-7.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:35am ET $379.15 43 $16,491.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $400.96 43 $17,440.17 $17,440.17 +$948.43
(+5.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $391.17 45 $17,440.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $374.46 45 $16,694.95 $16,694.95 $-745.22
(-4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET $377.33 44 $16,694.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $387.40 44 $17,140.66 $17,140.66 +$445.71
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $377.94 45 $17,140.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $421.60 45 $19,120.77 $19,120.77 +$1,980.11
(+11.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 11:05am ET $426.76 45 $19,120.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $417.46 45 $18,704.31 $18,704.31 $-416.46
(-2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $362.77 52 $18,704.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $370.03 52 $19,078.63 $19,078.63 +$374.32
(+2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $349.22 55 $19,078.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $347.76 55 $18,998.87 $18,998.87 $-79.76
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,998.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,998.87
Total Return: +89.99%
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