Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:34:53

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 66.1/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 59.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,761
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$16,913.82
Current Value
$16,336.27
Period P&L
$-577.55
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+15.24%
Worst Trade
-7.13%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$415,085.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-577.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-577.55
Gross Return
-3.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $16,913.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $462.77 37 $16,913.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $467.91 37 $17,101.50 $17,101.50 +$187.68
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $377.14 45 $17,101.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $350.25 45 $15,882.17 $15,882.17 $-1,219.33
(-7.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $429.05 37 $15,882.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $436.89 37 $16,172.38 $16,172.38 +$290.21
(+1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:45am ET $433.67 37 $16,172.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $432.95 37 $16,145.53 $16,145.53 $-26.85
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $670.27 24 $16,145.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $646.00 24 $15,560.91 $15,560.91 $-584.62
(-3.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 11:05am ET $690.85 23 $15,560.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $681.50 23 $15,350.31 $15,350.31 $-210.60
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $201.80 76 $15,350.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $194.37 76 $14,784.39 $14,784.39 $-565.92
(-3.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $182.82 81 $14,784.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $210.68 81 $17,036.92 $17,036.92 +$2,252.53
(+15.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:35am ET $203.71 84 $17,036.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $191.10 84 $15,982.31 $15,982.31 $-1,054.61
(-6.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:40am ET $182.15 88 $15,982.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $181.87 88 $15,957.30 $15,957.30 $-25.01
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:40am ET $213.73 75 $15,957.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $212.47 75 $15,863.23 $15,863.23 $-94.07
(-0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:30am ET $226.23 70 $15,863.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $215.07 70 $15,080.69 $15,080.69 $-782.54
(-4.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $230.85 65 $15,080.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $250.07 65 $16,336.27 $16,336.27 +$1,255.58
(+8.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,336.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,336.27
Total Return: +63.36%
Back to Monday Masher