Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:56

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
27.6/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
10.0/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 64.6/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 45.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,996
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$14,892.46
Current Value
$13,942.56
Period P&L
$-949.90
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.86

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+0.51%
Worst Trade
-4.01%
Avg Trade Return
-1.30%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$144,112.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-949.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-949.90
Gross Return
-6.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $14,892.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET $304.91 49 $14,892.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $300.77 49 $14,690.25 $14,690.25 $-202.21
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $373.95 39 $14,690.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $372.33 39 $14,626.41 $14,626.41 $-63.84
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:25am ET $361.18 40 $14,626.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $356.85 40 $14,450.66 $14,450.66 $-175.75
(-1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $357.91 40 $14,450.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $343.56 40 $13,871.28 $13,871.28 $-579.38
(-4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:40am ET $340.56 41 $13,871.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.31 41 $13,942.56 $13,942.56 +$71.28
(+0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,942.56
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,942.56
Total Return: +39.43%
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