Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:52:48

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 8.2/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 7.0

30-Day Momentum

3
-0.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,540
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,278.59
Current Value
$9,276.74
Period P&L
$-1.85
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
3.34

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+4.76%
Worst Trade
-3.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$171,696.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1.85
Gross Return
-0.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $9,278.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $343.17 27 $9,278.59
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $359.51 27 $9,720.39 $9,720.39 +$441.80
(+4.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $380.45 26 $9,720.39
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $390.22 26 $9,970.01 $9,970.01 +$249.62
(+2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $376.18 27 $9,970.01
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $375.48 27 $9,951.46 $9,951.46 $-18.55
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $374.97 27 $9,951.46
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $362.98 27 $9,633.39 $9,633.39 $-318.07
(-3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $350.36 27 $9,633.39
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $339.77 27 $9,342.30 $9,342.30 $-291.09
(-3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $332.94 28 $9,342.30
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $336.92 28 $9,453.98 $9,453.98 +$111.68
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $345.15 27 $9,453.98
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $339.70 27 $9,304.56 $9,304.56 $-149.42
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:35am ET $333.51 28 $9,304.56
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $329.56 28 $9,194.36 $9,194.36 $-110.20
(-1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $320.31 29 $9,194.36
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $323.18 29 $9,276.74 $9,276.74 +$82.38
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,276.74
Net Profit/Loss: $-723.26
Total Return: -7.23%
Back to Monday Masher