HOOD Monday Masher's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 30 trades in period
+25.33%
Year to Date Return
$49,179.57
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$39,239.09
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
72
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.5/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
73.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 71.8
30-Day Momentum
6
-0.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-66 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,892
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$39,239.09
Current Value
$49,179.57
Period P&L
$9,940.48
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-2.01
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
19 /
11
Best Trade
+28.09%
Worst Trade
-14.39%
Avg Trade Return
+1.08%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,540,023.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$9,940.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$9,940.48
Gross Return
+25.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.33%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $39,239.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.69 | 368 | $39,239.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $103.40 | 368 | $38,029.93 | $38,029.93 |
$-1,209.16 (-3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $93.50 | 407 | $38,029.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $80.59 | 407 | $32,778.95 | $32,778.95 |
$-5,250.98 (-13.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $86.39 | 379 | $32,778.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $77.99 | 379 | $29,591.74 | $29,591.74 |
$-3,187.21 (-9.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.31 | 398 | $29,591.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $77.36 | 398 | $30,806.31 | $30,806.31 |
+$1,214.57 (+4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.49 | 419 | $30,806.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $82.16 | 419 | $34,443.04 | $34,443.04 |
+$3,636.73 (+11.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.87 | 454 | $34,443.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $78.80 | 454 | $35,773.19 | $35,773.19 |
+$1,330.15 (+3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $74.37 | 481 | $35,773.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $74.91 | 481 | $36,032.94 | $36,032.94 |
+$259.75 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $71.88 | 501 | $36,032.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $72.72 | 501 | $36,454.03 | $36,454.03 |
+$421.09 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $66.24 | 550 | $36,454.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $70.10 | 550 | $38,575.56 | $38,575.56 |
+$2,121.53 (+5.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $69.61 | 554 | $38,575.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $71.69 | 554 | $39,730.94 | $39,730.94 |
+$1,155.38 (+3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.21 | 583 | $39,730.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $87.36 | 583 | $50,892.07 | $50,892.07 |
+$11,161.13 (+28.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $89.70 | 567 | $50,892.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $88.30 | 567 | $50,097.77 | $50,097.77 |
$-794.30 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $83.35 | 601 | $50,097.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $71.36 | 601 | $42,888.62 | $42,888.62 |
$-7,209.15 (-14.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $76.49 | 561 | $42,888.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $78.96 | 561 | $44,273.57 | $44,273.57 |
+$1,384.95 (+3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $75.10 | 590 | $44,273.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $76.88 | 590 | $45,325.04 | $45,325.04 |
+$1,051.47 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.97 | 597 | $45,325.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $75.66 | 597 | $45,141.87 | $45,141.87 |
$-183.17 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.18 | 501 | $45,141.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $82.82 | 501 | $41,456.72 | $41,456.72 |
$-3,685.15 (-8.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET | $84.21 | 492 | $41,456.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $86.75 | 492 | $42,709.63 | $42,709.63 |
+$1,252.91 (+3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $99.35 | 430 | $42,709.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $105.40 | 430 | $45,310.47 | $45,310.47 |
+$2,600.84 (+6.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 10:40am ET | $108.28 | 418 | $45,310.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $97.15 | 418 | $40,652.90 | $40,652.90 |
$-4,657.57 (-10.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $100.36 | 405 | $40,652.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $108.64 | 405 | $44,005.79 | $44,005.79 |
+$3,352.89 (+8.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $116.74 | 377 | $44,005.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $113.20 | 377 | $42,671.41 | $42,671.41 |
$-1,334.38 (-3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $110.53 | 386 | $42,671.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $115.56 | 386 | $44,613.30 | $44,613.30 |
+$1,941.89 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $99.15 | 450 | $44,613.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $104.49 | 450 | $47,016.07 | $47,016.07 |
+$2,402.77 (+5.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $94.19 | 499 | $47,016.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $89.42 | 499 | $44,632.70 | $44,632.70 |
$-2,383.37 (-5.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.52 | 516 | $44,632.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $93.25 | 516 | $48,103.75 | $48,103.75 |
+$3,471.05 (+7.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $92.57 | 520 | $48,103.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $94.69 | 520 | $49,205.40 | $49,205.40 |
+$1,101.65 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $104.74 | 470 | $49,205.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $108.77 | 470 | $51,101.13 | $51,101.13 |
+$1,895.73 (+3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.25 | 500 | $51,101.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $107.02 | 500 | $53,487.63 | $53,487.63 |
+$2,386.50 (+4.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $113.79 | 470 | $53,487.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $104.63 | 470 | $49,179.57 | $49,179.57 |
$-4,308.06 (-8.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$49,179.57
Net Profit/Loss:
+$39,179.57
Total Return:
+391.80%