Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:37:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 5.1/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,905
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,431.66
Current Value
$9,551.19
Period P&L
$-880.47
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-21.67

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
2 / 10
Best Trade
+2.67%
Worst Trade
-3.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.72%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$234,006.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-880.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-880.47
Gross Return
-8.44%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $10,431.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $556.93 19 $10,431.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $542.76 19 $10,166.25 $10,166.25 $-265.41
(-2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:50am ET $539.91 19 $10,166.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $527.39 19 $9,930.41 $9,930.41 $-235.84
(-2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $518.76 19 $9,930.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $513.97 19 $9,838.81 $9,838.81 $-91.60
(-0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $509.87 19 $9,838.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $523.47 19 $10,101.34 $10,101.34 +$262.53
(+2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:15am ET $514.45 20 $10,101.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $498.08 20 $9,779.91 $9,779.91 $-321.43
(-3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $490.40 20 $9,779.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $481.85 20 $9,609.40 $9,609.40 $-170.51
(-1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:20am ET $487.21 20 $9,609.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $486.87 20 $9,602.60 $9,602.60 $-6.80
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:45am ET $489.51 20 $9,602.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $489.04 20 $9,593.48 $9,593.48 $-9.12
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $531.83 18 $9,593.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $521.94 18 $9,415.07 $9,415.07 $-178.41
(-1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:30am ET $575.39 16 $9,415.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $574.02 16 $9,392.73 $9,392.73 $-22.34
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:10am ET $563.85 17 $9,392.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $575.21 17 $9,581.80 $9,581.80 +$189.07
(+2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $568.16 17 $9,581.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $566.34 17 $9,551.19 $9,551.19 $-30.61
(-0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,551.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-448.81
Total Return: -4.49%
Back to Monday Masher