Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:48:48

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
28.4/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 53.3/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 48.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,118
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
190 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$5,383.28
Current Value
$14,610.99
Period P&L
$9,227.71
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
30.39

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
19 / 7
Best Trade
+13.16%
Worst Trade
-15.08%
Avg Trade Return
+4.19%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$478,768.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$9,227.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$9,227.71
Gross Return
+171.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+171.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 190 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $5,383.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $389.13 14 $5,383.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $435.79 14 $6,028.86 $6,028.86 +$645.58
(+12.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $372.10 16 $6,028.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.88 16 $6,705.79 $6,705.79 +$676.93
(+11.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:50am ET $419.30 16 $6,705.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $414.09 16 $6,622.55 $6,622.55 $-83.24
(-1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET $402.79 16 $6,622.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $397.02 16 $6,527.68 $6,527.68 $-94.87
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $364.41 18 $6,527.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $405.32 18 $7,260.50 $7,260.50 +$732.82
(+11.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $439.55 17 $7,260.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $444.24 17 $7,337.97 $7,337.97 +$77.47
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:20am ET $419.13 18 $7,337.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $355.92 18 $6,231.31 $6,231.31 $-1,106.66
(-15.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $345.18 18 $6,231.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.37 18 $6,613.75 $6,613.75 +$382.44
(+6.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $376.27 18 $6,613.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $421.60 18 $7,410.52 $7,410.52 +$796.77
(+12.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $415.50 18 $7,410.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $455.74 18 $8,128.21 $8,128.21 +$717.69
(+9.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:05am ET $447.05 18 $8,128.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.98 18 $8,708.65 $8,708.65 +$580.44
(+7.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:55am ET $517.91 17 $8,708.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $515.12 17 $8,661.82 $8,661.82 $-46.83
(-0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $571.86 15 $8,661.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $647.11 15 $9,801.66 $9,801.66 +$1,139.84
(+13.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:30am ET $770.80 13 $9,801.66 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $781.55 13 $9,938.36 $9,938.36 +$136.70
(+1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:00am ET $715.19 14 $9,938.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $759.21 14 $10,550.07 $10,550.07 +$611.71
(+6.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $939.84 11 $10,550.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $991.42 11 $11,129.08 $11,129.08 +$579.01
(+5.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $1,116.98 10 $11,129.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,003.49 10 $9,998.32 $9,998.32 $-1,130.76
(-10.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $986.00 10 $9,998.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $989.00 10 $10,028.77 $10,028.77 +$30.45
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $916.62 11 $10,028.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $853.66 11 $9,339.91 $9,339.91 $-688.86
(-6.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:40am ET $879.54 11 $9,339.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $990.24 11 $10,515.39 $10,515.39 +$1,175.48
(+12.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:00am ET $892.26 12 $10,515.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $873.65 12 $10,296.07 $10,296.07 $-219.32
(-2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $782.70 13 $10,296.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $882.57 13 $11,609.89 $11,609.89 +$1,313.82
(+12.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $859.09 14 $11,609.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $947.58 14 $12,805.76 $12,805.76 +$1,195.87
(+10.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $912.27 14 $12,805.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $931.65 14 $13,077.87 $13,077.87 +$272.11
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 14 $13,077.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $977.88 14 $14,058.34 $14,058.34 +$980.47
(+7.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:35am ET $1,038.77 14 $14,058.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,079.60 14 $14,610.99 $14,610.99 +$552.65
(+3.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,610.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,610.99
Total Return: +46.11%
Back to Monday Masher