Compendium › Monday Masher › TMO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TMO
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 10 trades in period

+35.39%
Year to Date Return
$17,210.44
Current Value
70%
Win Rate
$12,711.98
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:29:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 80.9/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 59.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,451
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
183 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,711.98
Current Value
$17,210.44
Period P&L
$4,498.46
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.65

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+12.98%
Worst Trade
-3.48%
Avg Trade Return
+3.31%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$278,975.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,498.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,498.46
Gross Return
+35.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+35.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 183 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $12,711.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:40am ET $510.85 25 $12,711.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $518.88 25 $12,911.87 $12,911.87 +$199.89
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET $494.80 26 $12,911.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $477.57 26 $12,462.13 $12,462.13 $-449.74
(-3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $482.54 26 $12,462.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $500.92 26 $12,936.81 $12,936.81 +$474.68
(+3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:55am ET $457.71 28 $12,936.81 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $448.08 28 $12,664.48 $12,664.48 $-272.33
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $484.29 26 $12,664.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $482.03 26 $12,605.38 $12,605.38 $-59.10
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:20am ET $459.20 27 $12,605.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $505.91 27 $13,887.45 $13,887.45 +$1,282.07
(+10.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:20am ET $459.20 27 $12,605.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $518.82 27 $14,241.84 $15,523.91 +$1,636.46
(+13.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $513.83 30 $15,523.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $522.68 30 $15,791.29 $15,791.29 +$267.38
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $583.07 27 $15,791.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $628.62 27 $17,025.07 $17,025.07 +$1,233.78
(+7.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $612.14 28 $17,025.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $618.80 28 $17,210.44 $17,210.44 +$185.37
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,210.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,210.44
Total Return: +72.10%
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