Compendium › Monday Masher › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

+2.30%
Year to Date Return
$17,161.98
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$16,775.44
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:54:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 61.3/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 51.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,599
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$16,775.44
Current Value
$17,161.98
Period P&L
$386.54
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+4.30%
Worst Trade
-2.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$134,610.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$386.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$386.54
Gross Return
+2.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $16,775.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $415.36 40 $16,775.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $405.90 40 $16,393.37 $16,393.37 $-382.07
(-2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $390.44 42 $16,393.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $407.21 42 $17,097.49 $17,097.49 +$704.12
(+4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:30am ET $392.92 44 $17,097.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $387.13 44 $16,845.54 $16,845.54 $-251.95
(-1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $366.52 46 $16,845.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $373.40 46 $17,161.98 $17,161.98 +$316.44
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,161.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,161.98
Total Return: +71.62%
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