Compendium › Monday Masher › WMT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
WMT
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 8 trades in period

+3.33%
Year to Date Return
$11,988.99
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,602.85
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 15:45:55

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.9/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
5.3/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 41.8/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 33.3

30-Day Momentum

26
+3.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
3.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 42.3 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,588
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,602.85
Current Value
$11,988.99
Period P&L
$386.14
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+1.85%
Worst Trade
-0.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.42%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$186,286.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$386.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$386.14
Gross Return
+3.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $11,602.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET $129.71 89 $11,602.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $128.76 89 $11,517.51 $11,517.51 $-85.34
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $125.24 92 $11,517.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $124.71 92 $11,468.31 $11,468.31 $-49.20
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $128.43 89 $11,468.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $127.88 89 $11,418.75 $11,418.75 $-49.56
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $129.88 88 $11,418.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $130.10 88 $11,438.53 $11,438.53 +$19.78
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $129.14 89 $11,438.53 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $131.34 89 $11,633.39 $11,633.39 +$194.86
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:20am ET $115.01 101 $11,633.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $116.92 101 $11,826.07 $11,826.07 +$192.68
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $118.40 100 $11,826.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $120.59 100 $12,044.81 $12,044.81 +$218.74
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $118.68 101 $12,044.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $118.14 101 $11,988.99 $11,988.99 $-55.82
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,988.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,988.99
Total Return: +19.89%
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