AMGN Monday Masher's Analysis
to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 51 trades executed
+8.13%
2 Years Return
$9,234.82
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$8,540.84
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
7
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
7.6/100
× Confidence 0.87
= 6.6
30-Day Momentum
35
+4.6%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
3.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.7
Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,511
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
510 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$8,540.84
Current Value
$9,234.82
Total P&L
$693.98
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
45
Winners / Losers
23 /
22
Best Trade
+7.15%
Worst Trade
-5.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$789,866.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$693.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$693.98
Gross Return
+8.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.13%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 510 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $8,540.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2024 9:40am ET | $303.58 | 28 | $8,540.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2024 3:55pm ET | $312.85 | 28 | $8,801.61 | $8,801.61 |
+$260.77 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2024 11:10am ET | $308.05 | 29 | $8,801.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2024 3:55pm ET | $305.61 | 29 | $8,731.89 | $8,731.89 |
$-69.72 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2024 10:10am ET | $301.51 | 29 | $8,731.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2024 3:55pm ET | $298.29 | 29 | $8,638.64 | $8,638.64 |
$-93.25 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2024 10:40am ET | $313.28 | 28 | $8,638.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 5, 2024 3:55pm ET | $310.76 | 28 | $8,569.28 | $8,569.28 |
$-69.36 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2024 11:55am ET | $311.03 | 28 | $8,569.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2024 3:55pm ET | $325.08 | 28 | $8,956.38 | $8,956.38 |
+$387.10 (+4.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $329.99 | 27 | $8,956.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2024 3:55pm ET | $330.84 | 27 | $8,979.45 | $8,979.45 |
+$23.07 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $325.77 | 28 | $8,979.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET | $324.79 | 28 | $8,952.57 | $8,952.57 |
$-26.88 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2024 11:20am ET | $326.76 | 27 | $8,952.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2024 3:55pm ET | $331.10 | 27 | $9,071.48 | $9,071.48 |
+$118.91 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $319.75 | 28 | $9,071.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2024 3:55pm ET | $317.48 | 28 | $9,007.22 | $9,007.22 |
$-64.26 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2024 9:35am ET | $323.09 | 28 | $9,007.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2024 3:55pm ET | $321.35 | 28 | $8,958.71 | $8,958.71 |
$-48.51 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2024 11:05am ET | $317.00 | 28 | $8,958.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2024 3:55pm ET | $315.69 | 28 | $8,921.69 | $8,921.69 |
$-37.02 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2024 11:50am ET | $315.61 | 28 | $8,921.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2024 3:55pm ET | $321.95 | 28 | $9,100.94 | $9,100.94 |
+$179.25 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 9:30am ET | $280.54 | 32 | $9,100.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2024 3:55pm ET | $289.82 | 32 | $9,401.99 | $9,401.99 |
+$301.05 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $280.48 | 34 | $9,401.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2024 3:55pm ET | $274.32 | 34 | $9,195.66 | $9,195.66 |
$-206.33 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 11:35am ET | $276.34 | 33 | $9,195.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2024 3:55pm ET | $273.92 | 33 | $9,115.30 | $9,115.30 |
$-80.36 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $262.35 | 35 | $9,115.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 27, 2024 3:55pm ET | $262.67 | 35 | $9,126.42 | $9,126.42 |
+$11.12 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $260.28 | 35 | $9,126.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $261.13 | 35 | $9,156.22 | $9,156.22 |
+$29.80 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 10:40am ET | $277.77 | 33 | $9,156.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $284.13 | 33 | $9,365.87 | $9,365.87 |
+$209.65 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 11:45am ET | $330.55 | 28 | $9,365.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $312.64 | 28 | $8,858.47 | $8,858.47 |
$-507.40 (-5.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 12:15pm ET | $310.67 | 29 | $8,858.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $310.09 | 29 | $8,841.93 | $8,841.93 |
$-16.54 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $286.73 | 31 | $8,841.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $281.37 | 31 | $8,676.64 | $8,676.64 |
$-165.29 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:45am ET | $277.23 | 31 | $8,676.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $271.95 | 31 | $8,511.39 | $8,511.39 |
$-165.25 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 10:35am ET | $270.61 | 31 | $8,511.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $271.66 | 31 | $8,544.42 | $8,544.42 |
+$33.03 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 10:55am ET | $286.42 | 30 | $8,544.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $279.13 | 30 | $8,326.95 | $8,326.95 |
$-217.47 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $295.23 | 28 | $8,326.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $300.26 | 28 | $8,468.82 | $8,468.82 |
+$141.87 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $303.76 | 28 | $8,468.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2025 3:55pm ET | $294.90 | 28 | $8,221.80 | $8,221.80 |
$-247.02 (-2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 10:30am ET | $288.21 | 29 | $8,221.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $290.20 | 29 | $8,278.71 | $8,278.71 |
+$56.91 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $291.61 | 28 | $8,278.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $285.42 | 28 | $8,103.12 | $8,103.12 |
$-175.59 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $280.43 | 29 | $8,103.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $282.71 | 29 | $8,168.97 | $8,168.97 |
+$65.85 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 10:10am ET | $273.93 | 30 | $8,168.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $275.83 | 30 | $8,225.78 | $8,225.78 |
+$56.81 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $282.36 | 29 | $8,225.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $271.34 | 29 | $7,904.74 | $7,904.74 |
$-321.04 (-3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $295.76 | 27 | $7,904.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $295.44 | 27 | $7,896.19 | $7,896.19 |
$-8.55 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:45am ET | $288.26 | 27 | $7,896.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $292.01 | 27 | $7,998.91 | $7,998.91 |
+$102.72 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $294.38 | 27 | $7,998.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $315.44 | 27 | $8,571.02 | $8,571.02 |
+$572.11 (+7.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET | $321.59 | 27 | $8,571.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $336.00 | 27 | $8,955.08 | $8,955.08 |
+$384.06 (+4.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $336.59 | 27 | $8,955.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET | $345.46 | 27 | $9,191.21 | $9,191.21 |
+$236.13 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $340.89 | 27 | $9,191.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $340.28 | 27 | $9,174.76 | $9,174.76 |
$-16.45 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $327.03 | 28 | $9,174.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $317.39 | 28 | $8,904.45 | $8,904.45 |
$-270.31 (-2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $324.29 | 27 | $8,904.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $330.05 | 27 | $9,062.75 | $9,062.75 |
+$158.30 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $377.23 | 24 | $9,062.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $366.29 | 24 | $8,799.92 | $8,799.92 |
$-262.83 (-2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $367.09 | 24 | $8,799.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $368.33 | 24 | $8,829.65 | $8,829.65 |
+$29.73 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $344.11 | 26 | $8,829.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $355.79 | 26 | $9,129.35 | $9,129.35 |
+$299.70 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:35am ET | $346.75 | 26 | $9,129.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $349.99 | 26 | $9,214.65 | $9,214.65 |
+$85.30 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $352.43 | 26 | $9,214.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $349.36 | 26 | $9,134.38 | $9,134.38 |
$-80.27 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $342.86 | 27 | $9,134.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $346.63 | 27 | $9,234.82 | $9,234.82 |
+$100.44 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,234.82
Net Profit/Loss:
$-765.18
Total Return:
-7.65%