Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:51:59

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.3/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 61.7/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 59.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
72,645
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$15,085.31
Current Value
$18,998.87
Total P&L
$3,913.56
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
69
Winners / Losers
34 / 35
Best Trade
+21.71%
Worst Trade
-10.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,334,435.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,913.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,913.56
Gross Return
+25.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $15,085.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2024 9:55am ET $169.47 87 $14,740.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2024 3:55pm ET $178.13 87 $15,493.23 $15,493.23 +$753.22
(+5.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2024 9:30am ET $171.01 91 $15,493.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2024 3:55pm ET $171.96 91 $15,579.08 $15,579.08 +$85.85
(+0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2024 2:55pm ET $175.05 89 $15,579.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 3:55pm ET $185.66 89 $16,523.35 $16,523.35 +$944.27
(+6.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2024 10:45am ET $182.11 91 $16,523.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2024 3:55pm ET $181.52 91 $16,470.27 $16,470.27 $-53.08
(-0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2024 11:05am ET $178.55 92 $16,470.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2024 3:55pm ET $171.34 92 $15,805.19 $15,805.19 $-665.08
(-4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2024 12:00pm ET $169.54 93 $15,805.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 3:55pm ET $183.81 93 $17,135.50 $17,135.50 +$1,330.31
(+8.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET $179.31 96 $17,135.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2024 3:55pm ET $170.41 96 $16,284.98 $16,284.98 $-850.52
(-5.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2024 9:30am ET $162.87 100 $16,284.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 3:55pm ET $163.94 100 $16,391.82 $16,391.82 +$106.84
(+0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2024 10:30am ET $163.45 100 $16,391.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 29, 2024 1:00pm ET $162.08 100 $16,254.43 $16,254.43 $-137.39
(-0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET $177.83 91 $16,254.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2024 3:55pm ET $180.91 91 $16,536.42 $16,536.42 +$281.99
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2024 10:45am ET $238.70 69 $16,536.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 3:55pm ET $218.32 69 $15,124.55 $15,124.55 $-1,411.87
(-8.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2024 10:35am ET $228.35 66 $15,124.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 27, 2024 3:55pm ET $241.90 66 $16,021.74 $16,021.74 +$897.19
(+5.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2025 10:50am ET $237.11 68 $16,021.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $224.16 68 $15,146.50 $15,146.50 $-875.24
(-5.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $215.99 70 $15,146.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $215.66 70 $15,123.36 $15,123.36 $-23.14
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $215.74 70 $15,123.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $231.24 70 $16,209.91 $16,209.91 +$1,086.55
(+7.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 9:50am ET $215.35 75 $16,209.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $197.64 75 $14,876.61 $14,876.61 $-1,333.30
(-8.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:35am ET $195.41 76 $14,876.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $179.33 76 $13,652.32 $13,652.32 $-1,224.29
(-8.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $189.92 72 $13,652.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $191.32 72 $13,752.96 $13,752.96 +$100.64
(+0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2025 10:25am ET $192.39 71 $13,752.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $190.42 71 $13,612.49 $13,612.49 $-140.47
(-1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2025 11:40am ET $192.62 71 $13,612.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $171.99 71 $12,154.88 $12,154.88 $-1,457.61
(-10.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $161.31 75 $12,154.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $154.07 75 $11,609.34 $11,609.34 $-545.54
(-4.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $141.38 82 $11,609.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $172.07 82 $14,129.93 $14,129.93 +$2,520.59
(+21.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 9:40am ET $179.21 79 $14,129.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $170.88 79 $13,473.37 $13,473.37 $-656.56
(-4.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 1:35pm ET $162.31 83 $13,473.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $188.11 83 $15,614.95 $15,614.95 +$2,141.58
(+15.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 11:20am ET $188.31 83 $15,614.95 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $197.28 83 $16,359.19 $16,359.19 +$744.24
(+4.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
26 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:30am ET $201.67 81 $16,359.19 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $207.77 81 $16,854.01 $16,854.01 +$494.82
(+3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
27 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $225.17 75 $16,854.01 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $230.53 75 $17,255.35 $17,255.35 +$401.34
(+2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $243.13 71 $17,255.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $256.13 71 $18,177.98 $18,177.98 +$922.63
(+5.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 9:40am ET $270.13 67 $18,177.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $286.55 67 $19,282.94 $19,282.94 +$1,104.96
(+6.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 9:45am ET $300.82 64 $19,282.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $289.57 64 $18,561.80 $18,561.80 $-721.14
(-3.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 11:00am ET $346.86 54 $18,561.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $359.62 54 $19,244.91 $19,244.91 +$683.11
(+3.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $357.37 54 $19,244.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $345.16 54 $18,587.64 $18,587.64 $-657.27
(-3.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:55am ET $341.60 54 $18,587.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $336.11 54 $18,289.18 $18,289.18 $-298.46
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 11:30am ET $333.84 55 $18,289.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $338.20 55 $18,528.03 $18,528.03 +$238.85
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 10:35am ET $339.40 55 $18,528.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $345.02 55 $18,834.83 $18,834.83 +$306.80
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 11:35am ET $353.71 53 $18,834.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $354.14 53 $18,857.67 $18,857.67 +$22.84
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 12:10pm ET $349.26 54 $18,857.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $344.35 54 $18,592.56 $18,592.56 $-265.11
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 10:30am ET $355.68 52 $18,592.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $376.45 52 $19,678.55 $19,678.55 +$1,085.99
(+5.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:35am ET $366.60 54 $19,678.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $355.76 54 $19,096.94 $19,096.94 $-581.61
(-3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:35am ET $355.64 54 $19,096.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $340.06 54 $18,260.33 $18,260.33 $-836.61
(-4.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:50am ET $346.55 53 $18,260.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $347.07 53 $18,287.99 $18,287.99 +$27.66
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $393.15 47 $18,287.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $381.20 47 $17,732.12 $17,732.12 $-555.87
(-3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:35am ET $352.09 50 $17,732.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $329.70 50 $16,604.55 $16,604.55 $-1,127.57
(-6.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:55am ET $339.04 49 $16,604.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $352.18 49 $17,248.08 $17,248.08 +$643.53
(+3.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET $339.20 51 $17,248.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $332.40 51 $16,902.30 $16,902.30 $-345.78
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:30am ET $347.65 49 $16,902.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $343.06 49 $16,679.14 $16,679.14 $-223.16
(-1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET $322.63 52 $16,679.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $330.75 52 $17,098.92 $17,098.92 +$419.78
(+2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $347.85 49 $17,098.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $331.05 49 $16,273.33 $16,273.33 $-825.59
(-4.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $334.60 49 $16,273.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $321.34 49 $15,628.43 $15,628.43 $-644.90
(-4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $309.36 51 $15,628.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $331.52 51 $16,748.17 $16,748.17 +$1,119.74
(+7.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $327.32 51 $16,748.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $336.15 51 $17,200.50 $17,200.50 +$452.33
(+2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $320.21 54 $17,200.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $309.52 54 $16,626.77 $16,626.77 $-573.73
(-3.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $298.41 56 $16,626.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $314.04 56 $17,497.64 $17,497.64 +$870.87
(+5.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:05am ET $400.14 44 $17,497.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $419.67 44 $18,351.66 $18,351.66 +$854.02
(+4.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $418.25 44 $18,351.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $416.63 44 $18,280.74 $18,280.74 $-70.92
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
56 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $418.59 44 $18,280.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.21 44 $18,045.78 $18,045.78 $-234.96
(-1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
57 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:35am ET $426.06 42 $18,045.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $440.86 42 $18,672.63 $18,672.63 +$626.85
(+3.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
58 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $421.44 44 $18,672.63 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $414.20 44 $18,351.85 $18,351.85 $-320.78
(-1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:40pm ET $394.17 47 $18,351.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $386.80 47 $18,008.49 $18,008.49 $-343.36
(-1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:50am ET $390.05 46 $18,008.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $411.51 46 $18,999.54 $18,999.54 +$991.05
(+5.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:40am ET $403.28 47 $18,999.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $379.33 47 $17,871.19 $17,871.19 $-1,128.35
(-5.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:40am ET $403.28 47 $18,999.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $374.00 47 $17,620.09 $16,491.74 $-1,379.45
(-7.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:35am ET $379.15 43 $16,491.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $400.96 43 $17,440.17 $17,440.17 +$948.43
(+5.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $391.17 45 $17,440.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $374.46 45 $16,694.95 $16,694.95 $-745.22
(-4.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET $377.33 44 $16,694.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $387.40 44 $17,140.66 $17,140.66 +$445.71
(+2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $377.94 45 $17,140.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $421.60 45 $19,120.77 $19,120.77 +$1,980.11
(+11.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
67 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 11:05am ET $426.76 45 $19,120.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $417.46 45 $18,704.31 $18,704.31 $-416.46
(-2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
68 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $362.77 52 $18,704.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $370.03 52 $19,078.63 $19,078.63 +$374.32
(+2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
69 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $349.22 55 $19,078.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $347.76 55 $18,998.87 $18,998.87 $-79.76
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,998.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,998.87
Total Return: +89.99%
Back to Monday Masher