CRWD Monday Masher's Analysis
to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 59 trades executed
+31.13%
2 Years Return
$16,336.27
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$12,458.16
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
59
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
66.1/100
× Confidence 0.90
= 59.4
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
53,217
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$12,458.16
Current Value
$16,336.27
Total P&L
$3,878.11
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
44
Winners / Losers
21 /
23
Best Trade
+15.24%
Worst Trade
-7.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.70%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,301,896.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,878.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,878.11
Gross Return
+31.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.13%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $12,458.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2024 11:15am ET | $296.27 | 42 | $12,537.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2024 3:55pm ET | $288.48 | 42 | $12,207.64 | $12,207.64 |
$-329.65 (-2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2024 10:10am ET | $280.62 | 44 | $12,207.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2024 3:55pm ET | $275.19 | 44 | $11,971.42 | $11,971.42 |
$-236.22 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2024 9:50am ET | $286.81 | 42 | $11,971.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2024 3:55pm ET | $292.93 | 42 | $12,226.91 | $12,226.91 |
+$255.49 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2024 10:10am ET | $315.49 | 39 | $12,226.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2024 3:55pm ET | $302.31 | 39 | $11,716.12 | $11,716.12 |
$-510.79 (-4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2024 11:05am ET | $310.20 | 38 | $11,716.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2024 3:55pm ET | $308.51 | 38 | $11,652.23 | $11,652.23 |
$-63.89 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2024 9:35am ET | $296.80 | 39 | $11,652.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2024 3:55pm ET | $307.65 | 39 | $12,078.20 | $12,078.20 |
+$425.97 (+3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 10:30am ET | $368.95 | 33 | $12,078.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2024 3:55pm ET | $364.50 | 33 | $11,932.68 | $11,932.68 |
$-145.52 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $338.34 | 35 | $11,932.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2024 3:55pm ET | $349.99 | 35 | $12,343.38 | $12,343.38 |
+$410.70 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 10:25am ET | $359.21 | 34 | $12,343.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2024 3:55pm ET | $346.74 | 34 | $11,914.88 | $11,914.88 |
$-428.50 (-3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $355.86 | 33 | $11,914.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2024 1:00pm ET | $365.79 | 33 | $12,247.53 | $12,247.53 |
+$332.65 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $349.66 | 35 | $12,247.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2024 3:55pm ET | $342.07 | 35 | $11,981.68 | $11,981.68 |
$-265.85 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $342.26 | 35 | $11,981.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $348.15 | 35 | $12,187.87 | $12,187.87 |
+$206.19 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $363.00 | 34 | $12,187.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $408.70 | 34 | $13,722.27 | $13,722.27 |
+$1,534.40 (+12.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $387.49 | 35 | $13,722.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $407.67 | 35 | $14,436.91 | $14,436.91 |
+$714.64 (+5.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $402.12 | 36 | $14,436.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $379.47 | 36 | $13,623.73 | $13,623.73 |
$-813.18 (-5.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 10:30am ET | $394.51 | 35 | $13,623.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $390.22 | 35 | $13,475.58 | $13,475.58 |
$-148.15 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $316.92 | 43 | $13,475.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $329.69 | 43 | $14,018.37 | $14,018.37 |
+$542.79 (+4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $343.00 | 41 | $14,018.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $362.67 | 41 | $14,822.28 | $14,822.28 |
+$803.91 (+5.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $309.78 | 48 | $14,822.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $325.55 | 48 | $15,576.84 | $15,576.84 |
+$754.56 (+5.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 11:10am ET | $379.40 | 41 | $15,576.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $392.82 | 41 | $16,127.82 | $16,127.82 |
+$550.98 (+3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $370.53 | 44 | $16,127.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $368.71 | 44 | $16,048.60 | $16,048.60 |
$-79.22 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2025 9:35am ET | $459.50 | 35 | $16,048.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $467.52 | 35 | $16,328.71 | $16,328.71 |
+$280.11 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $465.26 | 35 | $16,328.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $485.39 | 35 | $17,035.19 | $17,035.19 |
+$706.48 (+4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $502.01 | 34 | $17,035.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $507.71 | 34 | $17,228.61 | $17,228.61 |
+$193.42 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $469.69 | 37 | $17,228.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $472.92 | 37 | $17,347.09 | $17,347.09 |
+$118.48 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 11:05am ET | $479.43 | 36 | $17,347.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $471.13 | 36 | $17,046.77 | $17,046.77 |
$-300.32 (-1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $490.28 | 35 | $17,046.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $484.22 | 35 | $16,836.07 | $16,836.07 |
$-210.70 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 11:00am ET | $498.50 | 34 | $16,836.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $488.96 | 34 | $16,513.87 | $16,513.87 |
$-322.20 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $497.47 | 33 | $16,513.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $517.22 | 33 | $17,169.49 | $17,169.49 |
+$655.62 (+4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:15am ET | $497.31 | 35 | $17,169.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $488.38 | 35 | $16,861.18 | $16,861.18 |
$-308.31 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 9:40am ET | $477.29 | 35 | $16,861.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $478.78 | 35 | $16,913.82 | $16,913.82 |
+$52.64 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $462.77 | 37 | $16,913.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $467.91 | 37 | $17,101.50 | $17,101.50 |
+$187.68 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $377.14 | 45 | $17,101.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $350.25 | 45 | $15,882.17 | $15,882.17 |
$-1,219.33 (-7.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:45pm ET | $429.05 | 37 | $15,882.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $436.89 | 37 | $16,172.38 | $16,172.38 |
+$290.21 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $433.67 | 37 | $16,172.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $432.95 | 37 | $16,145.53 | $16,145.53 |
$-26.85 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $670.27 | 24 | $16,145.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $646.00 | 24 | $15,560.91 | $15,560.91 |
$-584.62 (-3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $690.85 | 23 | $15,560.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $681.50 | 23 | $15,350.31 | $15,350.31 |
$-210.60 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $201.80 | 76 | $15,350.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $194.37 | 76 | $14,784.39 | $14,784.39 |
$-565.92 (-3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.82 | 81 | $14,784.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $210.68 | 81 | $17,036.92 | $17,036.92 |
+$2,252.53 (+15.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $203.71 | 84 | $17,036.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $191.10 | 84 | $15,982.31 | $15,982.31 |
$-1,054.61 (-6.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $182.15 | 88 | $15,982.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $181.87 | 88 | $15,957.30 | $15,957.30 |
$-25.01 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $213.73 | 75 | $15,957.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $212.47 | 75 | $15,863.23 | $15,863.23 |
$-94.07 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 10:30am ET | $226.23 | 70 | $15,863.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $215.07 | 70 | $15,080.69 | $15,080.69 |
$-782.54 (-4.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.85 | 65 | $15,080.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $250.07 | 65 | $16,336.27 | $16,336.27 |
+$1,255.58 (+8.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,336.27
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,336.27
Total Return:
+63.36%