Compendium › Monday Masher › JNJ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JNJ
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

to 2026-06-15 19:55:00+00 • 25 trades executed

+14.80%
2 Years Return
$10,822.43
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$9,427.23
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-16 08:36:29

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.48%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.40%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 16, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
8.0/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 28.9/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 21.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,967
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-17 → 2026-06-15
Trading Days
522 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,427.23
Current Value
$10,822.43
Total P&L
$1,395.20
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
21
Winners / Losers
14 / 7
Best Trade
+4.34%
Worst Trade
-2.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.67%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$419,350.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,395.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,395.20
Gross Return
+14.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 522 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $9,427.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2024 10:50am ET $146.89 64 $9,427.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 5, 2024 3:55pm ET $146.47 64 $9,400.27 $9,400.27 $-26.96
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2024 10:00am ET $148.93 63 $9,400.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2024 3:55pm ET $155.40 63 $9,808.65 $9,808.65 +$408.38
(+4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2024 9:30am ET $158.93 62 $9,808.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2024 3:55pm ET $160.79 62 $9,923.44 $9,923.44 +$114.79
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 10:30am ET $162.17 61 $9,923.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET $160.29 61 $9,808.40 $9,808.40 $-115.04
(-1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2024 10:15am ET $158.81 62 $9,808.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2024 3:55pm ET $159.13 62 $9,828.16 $9,828.16 +$19.76
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2024 10:25am ET $163.36 60 $9,828.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2024 3:55pm ET $163.65 60 $9,845.61 $9,845.61 +$17.45
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 10:35am ET $155.65 63 $9,845.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2024 3:55pm ET $151.88 63 $9,607.14 $9,607.14 $-238.47
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2024 9:50am ET $143.42 67 $9,607.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $144.18 67 $9,658.27 $9,658.27 +$51.13
(+0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:55am ET $150.86 64 $9,658.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $153.51 64 $9,827.93 $9,827.93 +$169.66
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $149.08 66 $9,827.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $148.63 66 $9,798.26 $9,798.26 $-29.67
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:50am ET $154.96 63 $9,798.26 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $155.62 63 $9,840.00 $9,840.00 +$41.74
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET $153.13 64 $9,840.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $153.64 64 $9,872.86 $9,872.86 +$32.86
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 9:40am ET $166.48 59 $9,872.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $164.77 59 $9,771.45 $9,771.45 $-101.41
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:45am ET $175.23 56 $9,771.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $177.75 56 $9,911.70 $9,911.70 +$140.25
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:55am ET $203.21 49 $9,911.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $206.92 49 $10,092.66 $10,092.66 +$180.96
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $204.23 49 $10,092.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $205.70 49 $10,165.30 $10,165.30 +$72.64
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:40am ET $228.52 44 $10,165.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $237.74 44 $10,575.44 $10,575.44 +$410.14
(+4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:55am ET $231.95 46 $10,575.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $230.53 46 $10,510.92 $10,510.92 $-64.52
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $225.55 47 $10,510.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $230.23 47 $10,728.82 $10,728.82 +$217.90
(+2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $225.13 48 $10,728.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $221.91 48 $10,575.37 $10,575.37 $-153.45
(-1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $223.01 47 $10,575.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $228.22 47 $10,822.43 $10,822.43 +$247.06
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,822.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$822.43
Total Return: +8.22%
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