Compendium › Monday Masher › MDT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MDT
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 10 trades executed

+4.56%
2 Years Return
$10,236.31
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$9,789.92
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:41:37

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 54%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
4.4/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 15.9/100
× Confidence 0.54 = 8.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (54%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,447
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
514 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,789.92
Current Value
$10,236.31
Total P&L
$446.39
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.93

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+2.38%
Worst Trade
-2.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$164,139.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$446.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$446.39
Gross Return
+4.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 514 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $9,789.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2024 9:55am ET $79.71 123 $9,789.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 21, 2024 3:55pm ET $81.61 123 $10,022.66 $10,022.66 +$232.74
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2024 10:45am ET $77.92 129 $10,022.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 5, 2024 3:55pm ET $77.62 129 $9,984.07 $9,984.07 $-38.59
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2024 10:15am ET $79.35 126 $9,984.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $80.95 126 $10,185.39 $10,185.39 +$201.32
(+2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:50am ET $89.32 114 $10,185.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $90.80 114 $10,354.16 $10,354.16 +$168.77
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $81.52 127 $10,354.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $82.53 127 $10,482.32 $10,482.32 +$128.16
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:05am ET $89.53 117 $10,482.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $90.06 117 $10,544.37 $10,544.37 +$62.05
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:50am ET $97.10 109 $10,544.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $96.54 109 $10,483.56 $10,483.56 $-60.81
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $89.89 117 $10,483.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.77 117 $10,236.31 $10,236.31 $-247.25
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,236.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$236.31
Total Return: +2.36%
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