Compendium › Monday Masher › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 44 trades executed

+35.42%
2 Years Return
$20,963.16
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$15,480.37
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:39:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
5.9/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 70.7/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 59.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
77,798
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$15,480.37
Current Value
$20,963.16
Total P&L
$5,482.79
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
27
Winners / Losers
14 / 13
Best Trade
+22.08%
Worst Trade
-9.44%
Avg Trade Return
+1.34%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$965,322.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,482.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,482.79
Gross Return
+35.42%
Net Return (after fees)
+35.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $15,480.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 9:55am ET $143.96 108 $15,480.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2024 3:55pm ET $146.80 108 $15,785.76 $15,785.76 +$305.39
(+2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2024 9:30am ET $138.60 114 $15,785.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 3:55pm ET $146.62 114 $16,699.20 $16,699.20 +$913.44
(+5.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2024 9:45am ET $138.44 121 $16,699.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 29, 2024 1:00pm ET $138.25 121 $16,676.88 $16,676.88 $-22.32
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET $138.17 121 $16,676.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2024 3:55pm ET $137.30 121 $16,571.87 $16,571.87 $-105.01
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2024 9:35am ET $131.11 126 $16,571.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 3:55pm ET $130.65 126 $16,513.73 $16,513.73 $-58.14
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET $130.95 126 $16,513.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $133.57 126 $16,844.77 $16,844.77 +$331.04
(+2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $127.51 132 $16,844.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $124.91 132 $16,501.30 $16,501.30 $-343.47
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $114.41 144 $16,501.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $128.69 144 $18,560.18 $18,560.18 +$2,058.88
(+12.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 10:30am ET $132.52 140 $18,560.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $120.01 140 $16,808.08 $16,808.08 $-1,752.10
(-9.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:55am ET $119.00 141 $16,808.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $110.58 141 $15,618.80 $15,618.80 $-1,189.28
(-7.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:35am ET $110.37 142 $15,618.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $115.71 142 $16,374.48 $16,374.48 +$755.68
(+4.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2025 10:30am ET $119.61 137 $16,374.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $118.47 137 $16,217.96 $16,217.96 $-156.52
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $104.49 155 $16,217.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $101.79 155 $15,798.12 $15,798.12 $-419.84
(-2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $88.22 179 $15,798.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $107.70 179 $19,286.53 $19,286.53 +$3,488.41
(+22.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 11:35am ET $110.56 174 $19,286.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $101.42 174 $17,692.11 $17,692.11 $-1,594.42
(-8.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 10:25am ET $95.84 185 $17,692.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $106.38 185 $19,638.82 $19,638.82 +$1,946.71
(+11.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 9:30am ET $108.67 181 $19,638.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $111.53 181 $20,155.44 $20,155.44 +$516.62
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $186.83 108 $20,155.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $180.91 108 $19,516.78 $19,516.78 $-638.66
(-3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:45am ET $176.86 110 $19,516.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $176.98 110 $19,530.02 $19,530.02 +$13.24
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $186.64 105 $19,530.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $188.81 105 $19,757.08 $19,757.08 +$227.06
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $186.93 106 $19,757.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $171.82 106 $18,159.58 $18,159.58 $-1,597.50
(-8.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $174.89 104 $18,159.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.90 104 $18,991.29 $18,991.29 +$831.71
(+4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $221.15 86 $18,991.29 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $219.23 86 $18,825.98 $18,825.98 $-165.31
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET $190.99 99 $18,825.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $194.48 99 $19,169.49 $19,169.49 +$343.51
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:10am ET $201.14 95 $19,169.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $194.90 95 $18,575.30 $18,575.30 $-594.19
(-3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $209.91 88 $18,575.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $227.93 88 $20,169.92 $20,169.92 +$1,594.62
(+8.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $211.20 96 $20,169.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $219.51 96 $20,963.16 $20,963.16 +$793.24
(+3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,963.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,963.16
Total Return: +109.63%
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