NVDA Monday Masher's Analysis
to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 39 trades executed
+58.66%
2 Years Return
$18,991.29
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,969.97
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
45
Lifetime
Confidence: 66%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.3/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
4.9/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality
69.2/100
× Confidence 0.66
= 45.3
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (66%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,622
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$11,969.97
Current Value
$18,991.29
Total P&L
$7,021.32
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
32
Winners / Losers
16 /
16
Best Trade
+22.08%
Worst Trade
-9.44%
Avg Trade Return
+1.69%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,041,856.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,021.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,021.32
Gross Return
+58.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+58.66%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $11,969.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2024 9:50am ET | $117.67 | 102 | $11,969.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2024 3:55pm ET | $129.37 | 102 | $13,160.15 | $13,160.15 |
+$1,190.18 (+9.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2024 9:35am ET | $124.05 | 106 | $13,160.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2024 3:55pm ET | $123.99 | 106 | $13,153.51 | $13,153.51 |
$-6.64 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $121.44 | 108 | $13,153.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 5, 2024 3:55pm ET | $125.81 | 108 | $13,626.84 | $13,626.84 |
+$473.33 (+3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2024 10:55am ET | $127.59 | 107 | $13,626.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2024 3:55pm ET | $127.46 | 107 | $13,613.06 | $13,613.06 |
$-13.78 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2024 12:15pm ET | $127.45 | 107 | $13,613.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2024 3:55pm ET | $121.11 | 107 | $12,935.88 | $12,935.88 |
$-677.18 (-5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2024 10:55am ET | $112.88 | 115 | $12,935.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2024 3:55pm ET | $109.34 | 115 | $12,530.13 | $12,530.13 |
$-405.75 (-3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $94.04 | 133 | $12,530.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET | $105.22 | 133 | $14,019.78 | $14,019.78 |
+$1,489.65 (+11.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2024 10:30am ET | $125.51 | 112 | $14,019.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2024 3:55pm ET | $117.63 | 112 | $13,139.56 | $13,139.56 |
$-880.22 (-6.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2024 10:55am ET | $103.84 | 127 | $13,139.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2024 3:55pm ET | $119.18 | 127 | $15,080.76 | $15,080.76 |
+$1,941.20 (+14.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $114.93 | 131 | $15,080.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2024 3:55pm ET | $117.98 | 131 | $15,480.37 | $15,480.37 |
+$399.61 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2024 9:55am ET | $143.96 | 108 | $15,480.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2024 3:55pm ET | $146.80 | 108 | $15,785.76 | $15,785.76 |
+$305.39 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 9:30am ET | $138.60 | 114 | $15,785.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2024 3:55pm ET | $146.62 | 114 | $16,699.20 | $16,699.20 |
+$913.44 (+5.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 9:45am ET | $138.44 | 121 | $16,699.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 29, 2024 1:00pm ET | $138.25 | 121 | $16,676.88 | $16,676.88 |
$-22.32 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $138.17 | 121 | $16,676.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2024 3:55pm ET | $137.30 | 121 | $16,571.87 | $16,571.87 |
$-105.01 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2024 9:35am ET | $131.11 | 126 | $16,571.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 3:55pm ET | $130.65 | 126 | $16,513.73 | $16,513.73 |
$-58.14 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $130.95 | 126 | $16,513.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $133.57 | 126 | $16,844.77 | $16,844.77 |
+$331.04 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $127.51 | 132 | $16,844.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $124.91 | 132 | $16,501.30 | $16,501.30 |
$-343.47 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $114.41 | 144 | $16,501.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $128.69 | 144 | $18,560.18 | $18,560.18 |
+$2,058.88 (+12.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 10:30am ET | $132.52 | 140 | $18,560.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $120.01 | 140 | $16,808.08 | $16,808.08 |
$-1,752.10 (-9.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 9:55am ET | $119.00 | 141 | $16,808.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $110.58 | 141 | $15,618.80 | $15,618.80 |
$-1,189.28 (-7.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $110.37 | 142 | $15,618.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $115.71 | 142 | $16,374.48 | $16,374.48 |
+$755.68 (+4.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2025 10:30am ET | $119.61 | 137 | $16,374.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $118.47 | 137 | $16,217.96 | $16,217.96 |
$-156.52 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $104.49 | 155 | $16,217.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $101.79 | 155 | $15,798.12 | $15,798.12 |
$-419.84 (-2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.22 | 179 | $15,798.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $107.70 | 179 | $19,286.53 | $19,286.53 |
+$3,488.41 (+22.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 11:35am ET | $110.56 | 174 | $19,286.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $101.42 | 174 | $17,692.11 | $17,692.11 |
$-1,594.42 (-8.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 10:25am ET | $95.84 | 185 | $17,692.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $106.38 | 185 | $19,638.82 | $19,638.82 |
+$1,946.71 (+11.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $108.67 | 181 | $19,638.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $111.53 | 181 | $20,155.44 | $20,155.44 |
+$516.62 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $186.83 | 108 | $20,155.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $180.91 | 108 | $19,516.78 | $19,516.78 |
$-638.66 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:45am ET | $176.86 | 110 | $19,516.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET | $176.98 | 110 | $19,530.02 | $19,530.02 |
+$13.24 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $186.64 | 105 | $19,530.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $188.81 | 105 | $19,757.08 | $19,757.08 |
+$227.06 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.93 | 106 | $19,757.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $171.82 | 106 | $18,159.58 | $18,159.58 |
$-1,597.50 (-8.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $174.89 | 104 | $18,159.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $182.90 | 104 | $18,991.29 | $18,991.29 |
+$831.71 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$18,991.29
Net Profit/Loss:
+$8,991.29
Total Return:
+89.91%