Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:19:51

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

57
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.3/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
8.1/15
Consistency
8.0/10
Raw Quality 81.4/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 57.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
77,396
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$21,634.09
Current Value
$37,914.32
Total P&L
$16,280.23
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
19
Winners / Losers
12 / 7
Best Trade
+40.61%
Worst Trade
-13.51%
Avg Trade Return
+3.70%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,075,241.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$16,280.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$16,280.23
Gross Return
+75.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+75.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $21,634.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2024 9:35am ET $61.47 352 $21,634.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 3:55pm ET $61.35 352 $21,591.86 $21,591.86 $-42.23
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2024 10:30am ET $65.30 331 $21,591.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 29, 2024 1:00pm ET $67.08 331 $22,182.13 $22,182.13 +$590.27
(+2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 10:30am ET $74.72 297 $22,182.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2024 3:55pm ET $73.20 297 $21,730.89 $21,730.89 $-451.24
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2024 10:05am ET $72.15 301 $21,730.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 3:55pm ET $74.26 301 $22,366.23 $22,366.23 +$635.34
(+2.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2024 9:55am ET $76.50 292 $22,366.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $79.84 292 $23,342.74 $23,342.74 +$976.51
(+4.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2025 11:40am ET $76.85 304 $23,342.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $67.25 304 $20,426.49 $20,426.49 $-2,916.25
(-12.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $73.96 276 $20,426.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $81.21 276 $22,428.82 $22,428.82 +$2,002.33
(+9.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:45am ET $79.16 283 $22,428.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $111.31 283 $31,538.05 $31,538.05 +$9,109.23
(+40.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 9:30am ET $98.01 322 $31,538.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $84.77 322 $27,277.63 $27,277.63 $-4,260.42
(-13.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 1:25pm ET $86.13 317 $27,277.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $80.42 317 $25,469.52 $25,469.52 $-1,808.11
(-6.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $80.31 317 $25,469.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $79.62 317 $25,250.69 $25,250.69 $-218.83
(-0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $80.02 316 $25,250.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $83.65 316 $26,396.15 $26,396.15 +$1,145.46
(+4.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $69.36 381 $26,396.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $88.61 381 $33,720.42 $33,720.42 +$7,324.27
(+27.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 11:45am ET $91.89 367 $33,720.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $93.73 367 $34,395.64 $34,395.64 +$675.22
(+2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 11:20am ET $109.49 314 $34,395.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $116.14 314 $36,484.70 $36,484.70 +$2,089.06
(+6.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET $150.98 242 $36,484.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $158.10 242 $38,205.27 $38,205.27 +$1,720.57
(+4.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $129.53 295 $38,205.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $135.76 295 $40,042.83 $40,042.83 +$1,837.56
(+4.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:55am ET $122.78 326 $40,042.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $107.31 326 $34,996.58 $34,996.58 $-5,046.25
(-12.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $172.06 203 $34,996.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $186.40 203 $37,914.32 $37,914.32 +$2,917.74
(+8.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $37,914.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$27,914.32
Total Return: +279.14%
Back to Monday Masher