Compendium › Monday Masher › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 19 trades executed

+32.07%
2 Years Return
$13,120.43
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$9,934.17
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:47:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.8/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
4.7/15
Profit Factor
12.0/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 58.1/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 36.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,073
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,934.17
Current Value
$13,120.43
Total P&L
$3,186.26
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
17
Winners / Losers
9 / 8
Best Trade
+14.00%
Worst Trade
-2.67%
Avg Trade Return
+1.71%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$386,255.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,186.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,186.26
Gross Return
+32.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+32.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $9,934.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $427.61 23 $9,934.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2024 3:55pm ET $434.83 23 $10,101.90 $10,101.90 +$167.73
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2024 10:30am ET $474.44 21 $10,101.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2024 3:55pm ET $471.28 21 $10,034.62 $10,034.62 $-67.28
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2024 11:10am ET $450.11 22 $10,034.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2024 3:55pm ET $468.45 22 $10,443.49 $10,443.49 +$408.87
(+4.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2024 9:30am ET $514.06 20 $10,443.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $510.17 20 $10,364.46 $10,364.46 $-79.03
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET $501.20 21 $10,364.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $516.53 21 $10,681.47 $10,681.47 +$317.01
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $513.67 21 $10,681.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $520.78 21 $10,829.32 $10,829.32 +$147.85
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $513.69 21 $10,829.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $526.85 21 $11,106.86 $11,106.86 +$277.54
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 10:30am ET $521.80 21 $11,106.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $514.49 21 $10,951.26 $10,951.26 $-155.60
(-1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 1:10pm ET $503.30 22 $10,951.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $502.10 22 $10,925.11 $10,925.11 $-26.15
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $481.96 23 $10,925.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $477.08 23 $10,814.49 $10,814.49 $-110.62
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $458.68 24 $10,814.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $476.15 24 $11,226.39 $11,226.39 +$411.90
(+3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $408.02 28 $11,226.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $465.14 28 $12,798.01 $12,798.01 +$1,571.62
(+14.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 11:35am ET $456.42 28 $12,798.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $444.22 28 $12,455.92 $12,455.92 $-342.09
(-2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $438.73 28 $12,455.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $454.37 28 $12,899.95 $12,899.95 +$444.03
(+3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $515.38 25 $12,899.95 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $513.05 25 $12,841.63 $12,841.63 $-58.32
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $594.71 22 $12,841.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $607.87 22 $13,125.79 $13,125.79 +$284.16
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $588.20 22 $13,125.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $587.96 22 $13,120.43 $13,120.43 $-5.36
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,120.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,120.43
Total Return: +31.20%
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