Compendium › Monday Masher › TMO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TMO
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 28 trades executed

+66.53%
2 Years Return
$17,210.44
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,334.85
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:00:13

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 80.9/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 59.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
40,833
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
506 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,334.85
Current Value
$17,210.44
Total P&L
$6,875.59
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
24
Winners / Losers
16 / 8
Best Trade
+17.13%
Worst Trade
-4.53%
Avg Trade Return
+2.31%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$581,900.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,875.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,875.59
Gross Return
+66.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+66.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 506 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $10,334.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2024 9:35am ET $517.93 20 $10,334.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $532.16 20 $10,618.90 $10,618.90 +$284.05
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2025 9:30am ET $555.00 19 $10,618.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $532.73 19 $10,192.80 $10,192.80 $-426.10
(-4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $492.45 21 $10,192.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $470.15 21 $9,731.23 $9,731.23 $-461.57
(-4.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $426.82 23 $9,731.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $427.10 23 $9,737.61 $9,737.61 +$6.38
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $423.41 23 $9,737.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $426.43 23 $9,807.06 $9,807.06 +$69.45
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 12:10pm ET $420.10 23 $9,807.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $419.96 23 $9,803.79 $9,803.79 $-3.27
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET $395.06 25 $9,803.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $398.36 25 $9,885.68 $9,885.68 +$81.89
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 12:05pm ET $405.51 24 $9,885.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 1:00pm ET $429.33 24 $10,466.37 $10,466.37 +$580.69
(+5.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET $425.83 25 $10,466.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $424.99 25 $10,445.85 $10,445.85 $-20.52
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 9:35am ET $405.69 26 $10,445.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $475.20 26 $12,235.62 $12,235.62 +$1,789.77
(+17.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 10:00am ET $493.47 25 $12,235.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $490.20 25 $12,154.54 $12,154.54 $-81.08
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 10:00am ET $483.74 25 $12,154.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $490.99 25 $12,336.83 $12,336.83 +$182.29
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:50am ET $557.69 22 $12,336.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $566.11 22 $12,523.09 $12,523.09 +$186.26
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:00am ET $571.50 22 $12,523.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $580.12 22 $12,711.98 $12,711.98 +$188.89
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:40am ET $510.85 25 $12,711.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $518.88 25 $12,911.87 $12,911.87 +$199.89
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET $494.80 26 $12,911.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $477.57 26 $12,462.13 $12,462.13 $-449.74
(-3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $482.54 26 $12,462.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $500.92 26 $12,936.81 $12,936.81 +$474.68
(+3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:55am ET $457.71 28 $12,936.81 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $448.08 28 $12,664.48 $12,664.48 $-272.33
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $484.29 26 $12,664.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $482.03 26 $12,605.38 $12,605.38 $-59.10
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:20am ET $459.20 27 $12,605.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $505.91 27 $13,887.45 $13,887.45 +$1,282.07
(+10.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:20am ET $459.20 27 $12,605.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $518.82 27 $14,241.84 $15,523.91 +$1,636.46
(+13.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $513.83 30 $15,523.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $522.68 30 $15,791.29 $15,791.29 +$267.38
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $583.07 27 $15,791.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $628.62 27 $17,025.07 $17,025.07 +$1,233.78
(+7.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $612.14 28 $17,025.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $618.80 28 $17,210.44 $17,210.44 +$185.37
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,210.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,210.44
Total Return: +72.10%
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