WMT Monday Masher's Analysis
to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 35 trades executed
+17.76%
2 Years Return
$11,773.34
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$9,998.14
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
28
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
12.4/35
Total Return
10.6/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality
38.7/100
× Confidence 0.72
= 27.8
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
60,228
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,998.14
Current Value
$11,773.34
Total P&L
$1,775.20
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
33
Winners / Losers
19 /
14
Best Trade
+10.82%
Worst Trade
-5.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.54%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$749,768.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,775.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,775.20
Gross Return
+17.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.76%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $9,998.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2024 10:40am ET | $84.50 | 118 | $9,998.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2024 3:55pm ET | $85.54 | 118 | $10,121.79 | $10,121.79 |
+$123.65 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 11:55am ET | $83.76 | 121 | $10,121.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2024 3:55pm ET | $87.19 | 121 | $10,536.91 | $10,536.91 |
+$415.12 (+4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 10:30am ET | $89.59 | 118 | $10,536.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 27, 2024 3:55pm ET | $91.87 | 118 | $10,805.07 | $10,805.07 |
+$268.16 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 9:40am ET | $94.87 | 114 | $10,805.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2024 3:55pm ET | $94.97 | 114 | $10,816.46 | $10,816.46 |
+$11.39 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $90.86 | 119 | $10,816.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2024 3:55pm ET | $92.78 | 119 | $11,045.63 | $11,045.63 |
+$229.17 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2024 9:40am ET | $90.59 | 122 | $11,045.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $90.03 | 122 | $10,977.35 | $10,977.35 |
$-68.28 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $92.25 | 119 | $10,977.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $91.33 | 119 | $10,867.28 | $10,867.28 |
$-110.07 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $93.91 | 116 | $10,867.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $96.21 | 116 | $11,133.42 | $11,133.42 |
+$266.14 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 10:55am ET | $98.15 | 113 | $11,133.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $95.98 | 113 | $10,887.27 | $10,887.27 |
$-246.15 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $89.63 | 121 | $10,887.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $85.17 | 121 | $10,346.00 | $10,346.00 |
$-541.27 (-5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $80.86 | 128 | $10,346.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $89.61 | 128 | $11,465.56 | $11,465.56 |
+$1,119.56 (+10.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 10:05am ET | $92.40 | 124 | $11,465.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $94.96 | 124 | $11,782.60 | $11,782.60 |
+$317.04 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 10:20am ET | $95.75 | 123 | $11,782.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $96.78 | 123 | $11,909.97 | $11,909.97 |
+$127.37 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $96.65 | 123 | $11,909.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $96.39 | 123 | $11,877.31 | $11,877.31 |
$-32.66 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 10:35am ET | $98.23 | 121 | $11,877.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $99.36 | 121 | $12,013.94 | $12,013.94 |
+$136.63 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 10:35am ET | $96.58 | 124 | $12,013.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $97.60 | 124 | $12,140.82 | $12,140.82 |
+$126.88 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $105.07 | 116 | $12,140.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $102.51 | 116 | $11,845.01 | $11,845.01 |
$-295.81 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:05am ET | $113.88 | 104 | $11,845.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $113.15 | 104 | $11,769.70 | $11,769.70 |
$-75.31 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $113.22 | 104 | $11,769.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 1:00pm ET | $111.61 | 104 | $11,602.85 | $11,602.85 |
$-166.85 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $129.71 | 89 | $11,602.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $128.76 | 89 | $11,517.51 | $11,517.51 |
$-85.34 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $125.24 | 92 | $11,517.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $124.71 | 92 | $11,468.31 | $11,468.31 |
$-49.20 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $128.43 | 89 | $11,468.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $127.88 | 89 | $11,418.75 | $11,418.75 |
$-49.56 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $129.88 | 88 | $11,418.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $130.10 | 88 | $11,438.53 | $11,438.53 |
+$19.78 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $129.14 | 89 | $11,438.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $131.34 | 89 | $11,633.39 | $11,633.39 |
+$194.86 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 10:20am ET | $115.01 | 101 | $11,633.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $116.92 | 101 | $11,826.07 | $11,826.07 |
+$192.68 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.40 | 100 | $11,826.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $120.59 | 100 | $12,044.81 | $12,044.81 |
+$218.74 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $118.68 | 101 | $12,044.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $118.14 | 101 | $11,988.99 | $11,988.99 |
$-55.82 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $115.02 | 104 | $11,988.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $108.86 | 104 | $11,346.91 | $11,346.91 |
$-642.08 (-5.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $110.71 | 102 | $11,346.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $112.99 | 102 | $11,580.07 | $11,580.07 |
+$233.16 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.33 | 102 | $11,580.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $109.33 | 102 | $11,171.86 | $11,171.86 |
$-408.21 (-3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $110.92 | 101 | $11,171.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $112.24 | 101 | $11,304.81 | $11,304.81 |
+$132.95 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.15 | 99 | $11,304.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $114.24 | 99 | $11,313.72 | $11,313.72 |
+$8.91 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.21 | 107 | $11,313.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $110.53 | 107 | $11,773.34 | $11,773.34 |
+$459.62 (+4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,773.34
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,773.34
Total Return:
+17.73%