Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:53:50

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.0

30-Day Momentum

10
-6.5%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,559.54
Current Value
$4,327.95
Period P&L
$-231.58
Max Drawdown
-44.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+1.83%
Worst Trade
-6.82%
Avg Trade Return
-0.34%
Avg Hold Time
16.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$120,269.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-231.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-231.58
Gross Return
-5.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $4,559.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:10pm ET $275.56 16 $4,408.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $271.05 16 $4,336.72 $4,487.29 $-72.24
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $265.52 16 $4,248.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $270.37 16 $4,325.92 $4,564.89 +$77.60
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $287.06 15 $4,305.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET $291.70 15 $4,375.43 $4,634.42 +$69.53
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $288.95 16 $4,623.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 3:00pm ET $293.54 16 $4,696.64 $4,707.94 +$73.52
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $286.80 16 $4,588.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $283.01 16 $4,528.08 $4,647.30 $-60.64
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:05am ET $286.23 16 $4,579.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $266.70 16 $4,267.20 $4,334.82 $-312.48
(-6.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $256.90 16 $4,110.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $254.84 16 $4,077.44 $4,301.86 $-32.96
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $241.52 17 $4,105.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $245.35 17 $4,170.95 $4,366.94 +$65.08
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $264.16 16 $4,226.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $261.70 16 $4,187.20 $4,327.58 $-39.36
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $254.30 17 $4,323.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $251.98 17 $4,283.66 $4,288.06 $-39.52
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:40am ET $248.21 17 $4,219.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $251.95 17 $4,283.07 $4,351.56 +$63.50
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $248.93 17 $4,231.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $245.62 17 $4,175.46 $4,295.21 $-56.35
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET $247.28 17 $4,203.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET $245.33 17 $4,170.61 $4,262.06 $-33.15
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:45am ET $239.68 17 $4,074.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $243.56 17 $4,140.45 $4,327.95 +$65.89
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,327.95
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,672.05
Total Return: -56.72%
Back to Nina Micro