Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:31

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 24.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 24.1

30-Day Momentum

20
+2.0%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.7 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,306.21
Current Value
$13,818.71
Period P&L
$512.49
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+7.14%
Worst Trade
-5.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
22.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$340,933.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$512.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$512.49
Gross Return
+3.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,306.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:10pm ET $476.24 27 $12,858.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $483.83 27 $13,063.54 $13,511.29 +$205.07
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $473.70 28 $13,263.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:50am ET $469.61 28 $13,149.22 $13,396.91 $-114.38
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:50am ET $466.38 28 $13,058.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $457.10 28 $12,798.66 $13,136.93 $-259.98
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $453.34 28 $12,693.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:30am ET $460.85 28 $12,903.80 $13,347.11 +$210.18
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $457.66 29 $13,272.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $468.24 29 $13,579.02 $13,653.99 +$306.88
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $506.94 26 $13,180.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $515.40 26 $13,400.40 $13,873.95 +$219.96
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $511.41 27 $13,808.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:55am ET $506.61 27 $13,678.34 $13,744.22 $-129.73
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $512.04 26 $13,313.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $485.79 26 $12,630.41 $13,061.48 $-682.74
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:05am ET $505.67 25 $12,641.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $501.75 25 $12,543.75 $12,963.53 $-97.95
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:40pm ET $523.32 24 $12,559.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $517.34 24 $12,416.10 $12,819.94 $-143.59
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $544.97 23 $12,534.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $583.88 23 $13,429.24 $13,714.98 +$895.04
(+7.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $615.00 22 $13,530.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $608.61 22 $13,389.42 $13,574.40 $-140.58
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:55am ET $613.50 22 $13,497.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:45pm ET $624.60 22 $13,741.31 $13,818.71 +$244.31
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,818.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,818.71
Total Return: +38.19%
Back to Nina Micro