Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

9
-6.5%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,329.50
Current Value
$9,657.95
Period P&L
$-671.55
Max Drawdown
-29.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.68

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
2 / 10
Best Trade
+1.52%
Worst Trade
-1.45%
Avg Trade Return
-0.68%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$238,916.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-671.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-671.55
Gross Return
-6.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $10,329.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $85.97 121 $10,402.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $84.72 121 $10,251.12 $10,327.08 $-151.25
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $86.51 119 $10,294.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $85.43 119 $10,166.76 $10,199.15 $-127.93
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $87.49 116 $10,148.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $86.52 116 $10,036.32 $10,086.63 $-112.52
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $83.75 120 $10,050.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 12:50pm ET $85.03 120 $10,203.60 $10,239.63 +$153.00
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $83.54 122 $10,191.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $82.87 122 $10,110.14 $10,157.89 $-81.74
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:05pm ET $86.83 116 $10,072.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $85.84 116 $9,957.44 $10,043.05 $-114.84
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $85.67 117 $10,023.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET $84.80 117 $9,921.61 $9,941.27 $-101.78
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:30am ET $83.68 118 $9,874.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $82.70 118 $9,758.60 $9,825.63 $-115.64
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $83.90 117 $9,816.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $83.08 117 $9,720.94 $9,729.69 $-95.94
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 10:50am ET $83.88 116 $9,729.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $82.66 116 $9,588.56 $9,588.75 $-140.94
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $86.89 110 $9,557.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $88.20 110 $9,702.00 $9,732.85 +$144.10
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $90.71 107 $9,705.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $90.01 107 $9,631.07 $9,657.95 $-74.90
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,657.95
Net Profit/Loss: $-342.05
Total Return: -3.42%
Back to Nina Micro