Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:28:30

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.3/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 29.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 29.5

30-Day Momentum

9
-5.3%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,950.05
Current Value
$13,088.55
Period P&L
$-861.59
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.56

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
2 / 10
Best Trade
+1.62%
Worst Trade
-1.84%
Avg Trade Return
-0.54%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$312,110.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-861.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-861.59
Gross Return
-6.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,950.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:35am ET $1,168.07 11 $12,848.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET $1,183.92 11 $13,023.12 $14,124.49 +$174.35
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $1,177.53 11 $12,952.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $1,166.51 11 $12,831.56 $14,003.27 $-121.22
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 2:40pm ET $1,153.67 12 $13,843.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,132.45 12 $13,589.40 $13,748.69 $-254.58
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:00am ET $1,131.08 12 $13,573.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:25am ET $1,122.10 12 $13,465.20 $13,640.87 $-107.82
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,115.05 12 $13,380.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,112.56 12 $13,350.72 $13,610.99 $-29.88
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,088.81 12 $13,065.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $1,080.45 12 $12,965.40 $13,510.61 $-100.38
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,069.18 12 $12,830.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:40am ET $1,086.52 12 $13,038.24 $13,718.75 +$208.14
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET $1,075.86 12 $12,910.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:50am ET $1,067.33 12 $12,807.96 $13,616.33 $-102.42
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $1,052.22 12 $12,626.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,039.42 12 $12,473.02 $13,462.71 $-153.62
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $1,057.91 12 $12,694.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $1,045.92 12 $12,550.98 $13,318.77 $-143.94
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $1,080.89 12 $12,970.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:30am ET $1,071.47 12 $12,857.64 $13,205.73 $-113.04
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:20am ET $1,065.71 12 $12,788.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:45am ET $1,055.95 12 $12,671.40 $13,088.55 $-117.18
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,088.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,088.55
Total Return: +30.89%
Back to Nina Micro