Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:44

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.1/35
Total Return
6.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 11.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 11.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.6%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,860.31
Current Value
$10,655.91
Period P&L
$-204.38
Max Drawdown
-14.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+2.37%
Worst Trade
-2.03%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$235,265.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-204.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$-204.38
Gross Return
-1.88%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $10,860.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:20pm ET $111.27 97 $10,793.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:40am ET $110.40 97 $10,709.28 $10,776.58 $-83.71
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:15am ET $108.04 99 $10,695.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $107.21 99 $10,613.79 $10,694.41 $-82.17
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $107.44 99 $10,636.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 12:35pm ET $107.50 99 $10,642.99 $10,700.84 +$6.43
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $106.90 100 $10,689.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:40am ET $108.69 100 $10,869.00 $10,880.21 +$179.37
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:40am ET $107.58 101 $10,865.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $106.50 101 $10,756.50 $10,771.13 $-109.08
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $104.30 103 $10,742.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $103.25 103 $10,635.26 $10,663.49 $-107.64
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:50am ET $104.27 102 $10,635.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $106.74 102 $10,887.48 $10,915.43 +$251.94
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $108.71 100 $10,871.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $107.35 100 $10,734.50 $10,778.93 $-136.50
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $107.64 100 $10,764.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $106.72 100 $10,672.00 $10,686.93 $-92.00
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $105.84 100 $10,584.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $103.69 100 $10,369.00 $10,471.93 $-215.00
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:40am ET $103.53 101 $10,456.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $105.36 101 $10,640.86 $10,655.91 +$183.98
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,655.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$655.91
Total Return: +6.56%
Back to Nina Micro