Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 17:40:09

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 18.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 18.4

30-Day Momentum

10
-1.2%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,845.68
Current Value
$11,704.12
Period P&L
$-141.51
Max Drawdown
-23.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
5 / 10
Best Trade
+2.29%
Worst Trade
-2.52%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
10.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$349,471.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-141.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-141.51
Gross Return
-1.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,845.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $25.12 478 $12,007.36
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $24.78 478 $11,844.84 $11,845.63 $-162.52
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:15am ET $25.94 456 $11,828.64
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 11:55am ET $25.65 456 $11,696.40 $11,713.39 $-132.24
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
3 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $24.39 480 $11,704.80
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $24.19 480 $11,613.60 $11,622.19 $-91.20
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
4 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $24.68 470 $11,599.60
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $25.09 470 $11,792.30 $11,814.89 +$192.70
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
5 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $23.76 497 $11,808.72
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:10am ET $24.31 497 $12,079.59 $12,085.76 +$270.87
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $26.56 455 $12,084.80
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $25.89 455 $11,779.95 $11,780.91 $-304.85
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $25.00 471 $11,775.00
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:00am ET $24.79 471 $11,676.09 $11,682.00 $-98.91
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $25.60 456 $11,673.60
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $25.38 456 $11,571.00 $11,579.40 $-102.60
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $24.92 464 $11,560.56
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.70 464 $11,460.80 $11,479.64 $-99.76
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:10am ET $26.95 425 $11,453.75
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $26.68 425 $11,339.00 $11,364.89 $-114.75
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:25am ET $29.14 390 $11,362.65
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET $29.59 390 $11,540.10 $11,542.34 +$177.45
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $29.44 392 $11,539.93
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $29.17 392 $11,432.68 $11,435.09 $-107.25
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:50am ET $28.59 399 $11,407.41
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:05am ET $29.02 399 $11,578.98 $11,606.66 +$171.57
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:40am ET $28.45 407 $11,579.15
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:55am ET $28.22 407 $11,485.54 $11,513.05 $-93.61
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:55am ET $25.67 448 $11,501.73
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:10am ET $26.10 448 $11,692.80 $11,704.12 +$191.07
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,704.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,704.12
Total Return: +17.04%
Back to Nina Micro