Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:48:19

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 19.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 19.3

30-Day Momentum

21
+1.4%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
16
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.0 Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,745.30
Current Value
$12,101.46
Period P&L
$356.21
Max Drawdown
-23.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+2.51%
Worst Trade
-1.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
5.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$399,715.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$356.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$356.21
Gross Return
+3.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,745.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $25.91 453 $11,734.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $25.65 453 $11,619.45 $11,629.73 $-115.52
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $25.45 456 $11,605.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:00am ET $25.20 456 $11,491.20 $11,515.73 $-114.00
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:00am ET $24.79 464 $11,502.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:15am ET $24.55 464 $11,388.88 $11,402.05 $-113.68
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $24.20 471 $11,398.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $24.62 471 $11,596.02 $11,599.87 +$197.82
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:50pm ET $24.33 476 $11,583.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:50pm ET $24.08 476 $11,459.70 $11,476.11 $-123.76
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $23.41 490 $11,471.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $24.00 490 $11,760.00 $11,764.18 +$288.07
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $24.40 482 $11,760.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $24.15 482 $11,640.30 $11,643.68 $-120.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $23.68 491 $11,629.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:50am ET $23.43 491 $11,504.13 $11,518.48 $-125.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:50am ET $23.28 494 $11,500.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:55am ET $23.75 494 $11,732.50 $11,750.66 +$232.18
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $23.64 497 $11,746.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:20am ET $24.01 497 $11,935.45 $11,939.52 +$188.86
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:25am ET $24.14 494 $11,922.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $24.55 494 $12,127.70 $12,144.53 +$205.01
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $24.91 487 $12,128.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $24.68 487 $12,021.59 $12,037.39 $-107.14
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET $23.70 507 $12,015.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET $23.50 507 $11,911.97 $11,933.46 $-103.93
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:50am ET $22.15 538 $11,916.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $21.98 538 $11,825.24 $11,842.00 $-91.46
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:50pm ET $22.02 537 $11,824.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $22.39 537 $12,020.75 $12,038.00 +$196.00
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $21.56 558 $12,030.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:05am ET $21.34 558 $11,907.72 $11,915.24 $-122.76
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:05am ET $20.78 573 $11,906.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $21.10 573 $12,093.16 $12,101.46 +$186.22
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,101.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,101.46
Total Return: +21.01%
Back to Nina Micro