Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:33:26

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
9.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 17.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 17.6

30-Day Momentum

10
-11.5%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
15
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 1.00×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,955.31
Current Value
$11,468.12
Period P&L
$-1,487.25
Max Drawdown
-30.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.37

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
3 / 12
Best Trade
+4.50%
Worst Trade
-5.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.79%
Avg Hold Time
5.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$379,537.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,487.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,487.25
Gross Return
-11.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,955.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 2:10pm ET $97.09 133 $12,912.97
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $96.33 133 $12,811.89 $12,854.29 $-101.08
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $101.81 126 $12,828.06
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET $100.16 126 $12,620.16 $12,646.39 $-207.90
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $107.97 117 $12,632.49
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $112.83 117 $13,201.58 $13,215.48 +$569.09
(+4.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $111.64 118 $13,174.11
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $113.73 118 $13,420.14 $13,461.51 +$246.03
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:45am ET $117.10 114 $13,349.40
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $114.86 114 $13,094.05 $13,206.16 $-255.35
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:00am ET $111.95 117 $13,098.15
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:20am ET $110.77 117 $12,960.24 $13,068.25 $-137.91
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $116.56 112 $13,054.72
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $115.52 112 $12,938.24 $12,951.77 $-116.48
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $112.39 115 $12,924.85
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $111.44 115 $12,815.60 $12,842.52 $-109.25
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:15am ET $110.30 116 $12,794.80
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $111.99 116 $12,990.84 $13,038.56 +$196.04
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $115.41 112 $12,925.92
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $114.53 112 $12,827.35 $12,939.99 $-98.57
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $106.43 121 $12,878.03
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $100.80 121 $12,196.80 $12,258.76 $-681.23
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $100.29 122 $12,235.38
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET $99.43 122 $12,130.46 $12,153.84 $-104.92
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $107.04 113 $12,096.08
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $106.16 113 $11,995.58 $12,053.34 $-100.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $105.28 114 $12,001.35
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $101.77 114 $11,601.78 $11,653.77 $-399.57
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $97.53 119 $11,606.07
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $95.97 119 $11,420.42 $11,468.12 $-185.65
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,468.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,468.12
Total Return: +14.68%
Back to Nina Micro