Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:26:52

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.6/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 34.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 33.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-4.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,175.70
Current Value
$14,484.03
Period P&L
$-691.65
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
3 / 10
Best Trade
+1.80%
Worst Trade
-1.43%
Avg Trade Return
-0.42%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$383,359.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-691.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-691.65
Gross Return
-4.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $15,175.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $232.82 65 $15,133.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $229.52 65 $14,918.81 $15,076.89 $-214.27
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $230.68 65 $14,994.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET $234.66 65 $15,252.90 $15,335.59 +$258.70
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:55am ET $236.74 64 $15,151.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $233.35 64 $14,934.36 $15,118.59 $-217.00
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $231.16 65 $15,025.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET $229.21 65 $14,898.65 $14,991.84 $-126.75
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:50am ET $233.60 64 $14,950.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $231.72 64 $14,830.08 $14,871.52 $-120.32
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:15am ET $230.74 64 $14,767.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $234.90 64 $15,033.60 $15,137.44 +$265.92
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $236.98 63 $14,929.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $234.88 63 $14,797.13 $15,005.14 $-132.30
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $249.57 60 $14,974.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $246.20 60 $14,772.00 $14,802.94 $-202.20
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $240.02 61 $14,641.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $238.03 61 $14,520.09 $14,681.81 $-121.13
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $237.23 61 $14,471.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $234.15 61 $14,282.85 $14,493.63 $-188.18
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:15am ET $230.34 62 $14,281.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:25am ET $228.39 62 $14,160.18 $14,372.72 $-120.91
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:25am ET $231.11 62 $14,328.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $234.77 62 $14,556.05 $14,599.95 +$227.23
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:40am ET $229.13 63 $14,435.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:45am ET $227.29 63 $14,319.27 $14,484.03 $-115.92
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,484.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,484.03
Total Return: +44.84%
Back to Nina Micro