Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:23:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 4.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-8.0%
30d Return
8%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,400.14
Current Value
$9,503.54
Period P&L
$-896.63
Max Drawdown
-27.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.97

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
1 / 12
Best Trade
+1.69%
Worst Trade
-1.37%
Avg Trade Return
-0.71%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$252,699.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-896.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-896.63
Gross Return
-8.62%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $10,400.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $380.12 27 $10,263.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:05am ET $377.21 27 $10,184.67 $10,332.54 $-78.57
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:05am ET $370.95 27 $10,015.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:30am ET $367.98 27 $9,935.46 $10,252.22 $-80.32
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:40am ET $368.34 27 $9,945.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $366.72 27 $9,901.44 $10,208.48 $-43.74
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $372.54 27 $10,058.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:55am ET $367.43 27 $9,920.61 $10,070.64 $-137.84
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $376.32 26 $9,784.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $372.87 26 $9,694.62 $9,980.94 $-89.70
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $368.98 27 $9,962.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 10:40am ET $365.51 27 $9,868.77 $9,887.25 $-93.69
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:40am ET $354.34 27 $9,567.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:55am ET $349.58 27 $9,438.79 $9,758.86 $-128.39
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:55am ET $352.40 27 $9,514.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $348.96 27 $9,422.05 $9,666.12 $-92.74
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:35am ET $367.57 26 $9,556.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $373.80 26 $9,718.80 $9,828.10 +$161.98
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $372.46 26 $9,684.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:35am ET $368.85 26 $9,590.10 $9,734.11 $-93.99
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $385.42 25 $9,635.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $382.36 25 $9,559.12 $9,657.61 $-76.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $385.18 25 $9,629.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $381.80 25 $9,545.00 $9,573.11 $-84.50
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $399.40 23 $9,186.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $396.38 23 $9,116.63 $9,503.54 $-69.57
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,503.54
Net Profit/Loss: $-496.46
Total Return: -4.96%
Back to Nina Micro