Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 20.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 20.5

30-Day Momentum

19
+1.4%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.1 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,155.84
Current Value
$12,195.04
Period P&L
$39.15
Max Drawdown
-26.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+2.95%
Worst Trade
-1.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$254,078.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$39.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$39.15
Gross Return
+0.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,155.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:15am ET $1,242.74 9 $11,184.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 11:05am ET $1,262.40 9 $11,361.56 $12,204.49 +$176.85
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:25am ET $1,207.60 10 $12,076.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:45am ET $1,193.00 10 $11,930.00 $12,058.44 $-146.05
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $1,178.91 10 $11,789.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $1,168.97 10 $11,689.70 $11,959.04 $-99.40
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $1,152.31 10 $11,523.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,186.35 10 $11,863.50 $12,299.39 +$340.35
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:00am ET $1,171.18 10 $11,711.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,160.75 10 $11,607.50 $12,195.09 $-104.30
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,150.16 10 $11,501.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,141.00 10 $11,410.00 $12,103.49 $-91.60
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,125.47 10 $11,254.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,117.81 10 $11,178.10 $12,026.89 $-76.60
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,140.49 10 $11,404.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $1,131.81 10 $11,318.05 $11,939.99 $-86.90
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $1,134.85 10 $11,348.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:40am ET $1,152.12 10 $11,521.20 $12,112.69 +$172.70
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:35am ET $1,147.43 10 $11,474.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:35am ET $1,166.62 10 $11,666.20 $12,304.64 +$191.95
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:55am ET $1,168.69 10 $11,686.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:55am ET $1,157.72 10 $11,577.25 $12,195.04 $-109.60
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,195.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,195.04
Total Return: +21.95%
Back to Nina Micro