Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-26 18:45:25

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 26, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.3/35
Total Return
10.6/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 19.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 19.2

30-Day Momentum

26
+2.4%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.3 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,566.27
Current Value
$11,972.06
Period P&L
$405.74
Max Drawdown
-26.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+2.01%
Worst Trade
-0.95%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
14.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$310,573.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$405.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$405.74
Gross Return
+3.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,566.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,078.77 10 $10,787.70
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,070.40 10 $10,704.00 $11,482.62 $-83.70
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:30am ET $1,128.02 10 $11,280.15
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $1,117.90 10 $11,178.95 $11,381.42 $-101.20
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:45pm ET $1,092.91 10 $10,929.05
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET $1,082.49 10 $10,824.90 $11,277.27 $-104.15
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $1,055.58 10 $10,555.80
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:20am ET $1,071.96 10 $10,719.56 $11,441.03 +$163.76
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,089.21 10 $10,892.10
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $1,106.52 10 $11,065.20 $11,614.13 +$173.10
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $1,151.39 10 $11,513.90
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $1,142.39 10 $11,423.85 $11,524.08 $-90.05
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,156.33 9 $10,406.97
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,147.55 9 $10,327.95 $11,445.06 $-79.02
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,143.34 10 $11,433.40
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:05am ET $1,162.38 10 $11,623.80 $11,635.46 +$190.40
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,160.25 10 $11,602.50
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:45am ET $1,151.50 10 $11,515.00 $11,547.96 $-87.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:45am ET $1,121.14 10 $11,211.40
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET $1,143.64 10 $11,436.35 $11,772.91 +$224.95
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET $1,113.86 10 $11,138.60
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:05am ET $1,104.83 10 $11,048.30 $11,682.61 $-90.30
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 11:10am ET $1,096.34 10 $10,963.40
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,113.33 10 $11,133.30 $11,852.51 +$169.90
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:40am ET $1,112.38 10 $11,123.80
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,103.38 10 $11,033.75 $11,762.46 $-90.05
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,124.51 10 $11,245.05
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,145.46 10 $11,454.65 $11,972.06 +$209.60
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,972.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,972.06
Total Return: +19.72%
Back to Nina Micro