Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:01

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 17.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 17.4

30-Day Momentum

9
-6.5%
30d Return
10%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,504.86
Current Value
$10,752.79
Period P&L
$-752.05
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.65

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
1 / 9
Best Trade
+0.33%
Worst Trade
-1.07%
Avg Trade Return
-0.68%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$218,900.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-752.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-752.05
Gross Return
-6.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,504.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:20am ET $597.20 19 $11,346.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $592.40 19 $11,255.60 $11,413.64 $-91.20
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $596.04 19 $11,324.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $589.86 19 $11,207.43 $11,296.36 $-117.28
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $589.28 19 $11,196.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $584.81 19 $11,111.39 $11,211.34 $-85.02
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $587.85 19 $11,169.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $581.58 19 $11,050.02 $11,092.12 $-119.22
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $572.50 19 $10,877.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 11:35am ET $567.90 19 $10,790.10 $11,004.72 $-87.40
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $568.80 19 $10,807.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $564.00 19 $10,716.00 $10,913.43 $-91.29
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $570.46 19 $10,838.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $572.34 19 $10,874.46 $10,949.15 +$35.72
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $570.04 19 $10,830.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:50am ET $565.32 19 $10,741.08 $10,859.47 $-89.68
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:50am ET $563.60 19 $10,708.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:50am ET $562.83 19 $10,693.77 $10,844.84 $-14.63
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET $564.53 19 $10,726.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:35am ET $559.69 19 $10,634.11 $10,752.79 $-92.05
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,752.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$752.79
Total Return: +7.53%
Back to Nina Micro