Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 08:22:36

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.4/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 24.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 24.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-6.1%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,313.09
Current Value
$11,664.06
Period P&L
$-649.01
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.63

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
2 / 10
Best Trade
+1.60%
Worst Trade
-1.36%
Avg Trade Return
-0.54%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$276,464.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-649.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$-649.01
Gross Return
-5.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,313.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:40am ET $499.21 24 $11,981.04
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $494.36 24 $11,864.64 $12,308.05 $-116.40
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:30am ET $494.60 24 $11,870.28
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:00am ET $490.05 24 $11,761.08 $12,198.85 $-109.20
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $497.16 24 $11,931.84
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $490.40 24 $11,769.60 $12,036.61 $-162.24
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $486.86 24 $11,684.64
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:50am ET $483.00 24 $11,592.00 $11,943.97 $-92.64
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $474.61 25 $11,865.13
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:00am ET $470.22 25 $11,755.50 $11,834.34 $-109.63
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:15am ET $484.13 24 $11,619.12
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $480.33 24 $11,527.92 $11,743.14 $-91.20
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $490.40 23 $11,279.20
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:25am ET $486.68 23 $11,193.64 $11,657.58 $-85.56
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $492.22 23 $11,321.16
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:30am ET $488.04 23 $11,224.92 $11,561.34 $-96.24
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $485.54 23 $11,167.31
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $490.52 23 $11,281.85 $11,675.88 +$114.54
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $497.18 23 $11,435.14
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $493.28 23 $11,345.46 $11,586.20 $-89.68
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $488.58 23 $11,237.34
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $484.18 23 $11,136.14 $11,485.00 $-101.20
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $487.84 23 $11,220.32
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:05am ET $495.63 23 $11,399.38 $11,664.06 +$179.06
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,664.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,664.06
Total Return: +16.64%
Back to Nina Micro