Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:46:06

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 5.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.7

30-Day Momentum

12
+0.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.4 Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,175.56
Current Value
$7,354.95
Period P&L
$179.40
Max Drawdown
-34.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
6 / 11
Best Trade
+5.12%
Worst Trade
-2.29%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
7.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$241,198.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$179.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$179.40
Gross Return
+2.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $7,175.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $11.48 624 $7,166.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $11.40 624 $7,110.48 $7,119.39 $-56.16
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:15pm ET $11.95 595 $7,113.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $11.86 595 $7,056.70 $7,062.86 $-56.53
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:55am ET $12.10 583 $7,054.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $12.01 583 $6,998.92 $7,007.47 $-55.39
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $10.81 648 $7,001.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $10.71 648 $6,940.08 $6,945.91 $-61.56
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $10.48 662 $6,937.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $10.24 662 $6,778.88 $6,787.03 $-158.88
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET $10.14 669 $6,783.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $10.32 669 $6,907.42 $6,910.79 +$123.76
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:30pm ET $11.44 604 $6,906.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $11.61 604 $7,012.50 $7,016.55 +$105.76
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:40pm ET $11.24 623 $7,005.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $11.17 623 $6,958.91 $6,969.83 $-46.72
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:40am ET $11.77 592 $6,967.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $11.97 592 $7,083.28 $7,085.27 +$115.44
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:50pm ET $11.61 610 $7,084.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $11.50 610 $7,017.32 $7,018.05 $-67.22
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $11.04 635 $7,010.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $11.60 635 $7,369.17 $7,376.82 +$358.77
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $11.32 651 $7,371.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:05am ET $11.22 651 $7,304.22 $7,309.96 $-66.86
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $11.27 648 $7,301.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $11.16 648 $7,234.92 $7,243.60 $-66.36
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $11.66 621 $7,240.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $11.55 621 $7,169.45 $7,172.19 $-71.41
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:40am ET $13.31 538 $7,163.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:05am ET $13.52 538 $7,271.66 $7,280.38 +$108.19
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $13.69 531 $7,272.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $13.43 531 $7,131.33 $7,139.67 $-140.71
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $13.08 545 $7,128.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:35am ET $13.48 545 $7,343.88 $7,354.95 +$215.28
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,354.95
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,645.05
Total Return: -26.45%
Back to Nina Micro