Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-26 18:47:22

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 26, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.1/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
2.1/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 43.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 42.9

30-Day Momentum

10
+0.0%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.3 Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,281.60
Current Value
$16,205.85
Period P&L
$-75.71
Max Drawdown
-12.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
6 / 9
Best Trade
+2.40%
Worst Trade
-1.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
19.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$487,901.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-75.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-75.71
Gross Return
-0.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $16,281.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $202.30 80 $16,183.99
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $202.38 80 $16,190.80 $16,201.16 +$6.81
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $199.24 81 $16,138.78
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $197.74 81 $16,017.34 $16,079.72 $-121.44
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $203.69 78 $15,887.82
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:05am ET $207.21 78 $16,162.38 $16,354.28 +$274.56
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $209.79 77 $16,153.45
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $214.40 77 $16,508.80 $16,709.63 +$355.35
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $213.06 78 $16,618.68
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $210.45 78 $16,414.71 $16,505.66 $-203.97
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $217.43 75 $16,307.62
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $213.93 75 $16,044.75 $16,242.78 $-262.88
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $214.93 75 $16,119.75
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $213.15 75 $15,986.62 $16,109.66 $-133.12
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $210.06 76 $15,964.56
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $208.13 76 $15,817.50 $15,962.60 $-147.06
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:55am ET $208.02 76 $15,809.90
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $211.54 76 $16,077.04 $16,229.74 +$267.14
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:20pm ET $214.09 75 $16,056.75
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $219.23 75 $16,441.88 $16,614.87 +$385.13
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $220.41 75 $16,530.56
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $224.54 75 $16,840.13 $16,924.43 +$309.56
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:30am ET $227.75 74 $16,853.50
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $225.67 74 $16,699.58 $16,770.51 $-153.92
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $227.60 73 $16,614.44
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $223.70 73 $16,330.10 $16,486.17 $-284.34
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET $224.90 73 $16,418.06
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET $223.01 73 $16,280.09 $16,348.20 $-137.97
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:15am ET $223.11 73 $16,287.03
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 2:45pm ET $221.16 73 $16,144.68 $16,205.85 $-142.35
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,205.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,205.85
Total Return: +62.06%
Back to Nina Micro