Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:06:19

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.2/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 38.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 37.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-8.0%
30d Return
8%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,501.92
Current Value
$15,027.64
Period P&L
$-1,474.24
Max Drawdown
-12.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.99

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
1 / 12
Best Trade
+1.63%
Worst Trade
-1.30%
Avg Trade Return
-0.70%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$410,562.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,474.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,474.24
Gross Return
-8.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $16,501.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $214.30 76 $16,286.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:20am ET $212.41 76 $16,143.16 $16,307.32 $-143.64
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:45am ET $214.86 75 $16,114.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $214.12 75 $16,059.00 $16,251.82 $-55.50
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $210.74 77 $16,226.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:15am ET $214.16 77 $16,490.70 $16,515.54 +$263.72
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:25am ET $213.03 77 $16,403.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $211.20 77 $16,262.40 $16,374.63 $-140.91
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $216.78 75 $16,258.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 10:30am ET $215.05 75 $16,129.12 $16,245.25 $-129.38
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:30am ET $215.49 75 $16,161.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $213.85 75 $16,039.12 $16,122.62 $-122.63
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $215.01 74 $15,911.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $213.30 74 $15,784.20 $15,995.71 $-126.91
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $214.50 74 $15,873.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $211.97 74 $15,685.78 $15,808.49 $-187.22
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $205.84 76 $15,643.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET $203.74 76 $15,484.24 $15,648.89 $-159.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $206.58 75 $15,493.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $204.31 75 $15,323.25 $15,478.64 $-170.25
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $203.93 75 $15,294.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $202.10 75 $15,157.50 $15,341.50 $-137.14
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $205.56 74 $15,211.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET $202.89 74 $15,013.86 $15,143.92 $-197.58
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET $198.86 76 $15,113.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:35am ET $197.33 76 $14,997.08 $15,027.64 $-116.28
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,027.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,027.64
Total Return: +50.28%
Back to Nina Micro