Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:45:15

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 6.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 6.1

30-Day Momentum

31
+3.1%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.3 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,483.55
Current Value
$9,844.16
Period P&L
$360.58
Max Drawdown
-23.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+2.26%
Worst Trade
-2.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.29%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$207,362.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$360.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$360.58
Gross Return
+3.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,483.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $488.15 19 $9,274.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:50am ET $497.05 19 $9,443.95 $9,717.46 +$169.00
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:25am ET $501.25 19 $9,523.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:45am ET $511.13 19 $9,711.47 $9,905.18 +$187.72
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $509.01 19 $9,671.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $497.89 19 $9,459.82 $9,693.81 $-211.38
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $499.88 19 $9,497.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:35am ET $495.90 19 $9,422.10 $9,618.19 $-75.62
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $511.40 18 $9,205.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $506.41 18 $9,115.38 $9,528.37 $-89.82
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $494.21 19 $9,389.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:25am ET $490.40 19 $9,317.60 $9,455.98 $-72.39
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:45am ET $492.08 19 $9,349.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $497.45 19 $9,451.55 $9,558.01 +$102.03
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $500.61 19 $9,511.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $496.75 19 $9,438.25 $9,484.67 $-73.34
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $489.34 19 $9,297.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $496.83 19 $9,439.68 $9,626.84 +$142.17
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $493.49 19 $9,376.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $493.68 19 $9,380.01 $9,630.55 +$3.71
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET $496.62 19 $9,435.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $507.86 19 $9,649.34 $9,844.16 +$213.61
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,844.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-155.84
Total Return: -1.56%
Back to Nina Micro