Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 16:20:27

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

12
+0.4%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.4 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,682.25
Current Value
$8,717.91
Period P&L
$35.64
Max Drawdown
-23.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
3 / 9
Best Trade
+4.80%
Worst Trade
-1.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
22.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$208,333.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$35.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$35.64
Gross Return
+0.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $8,682.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $418.66 20 $8,373.20
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $416.55 20 $8,331.10 $8,640.17 $-42.10
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $411.05 21 $8,632.05
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $419.24 21 $8,804.04 $8,812.16 +$171.99
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $443.30 19 $8,422.70
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $464.57 19 $8,826.74 $9,216.20 +$404.04
(+4.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $446.97 20 $8,939.40
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET $443.11 20 $8,862.20 $9,139.00 $-77.20
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:45am ET $428.41 21 $8,996.64
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $425.19 21 $8,928.99 $9,071.35 $-67.65
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $427.94 21 $8,986.74
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET $423.26 21 $8,888.46 $8,973.07 $-98.28
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:05am ET $412.25 21 $8,657.25
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $408.87 21 $8,586.27 $8,902.09 $-70.98
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $402.40 22 $8,852.80
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $398.06 22 $8,757.32 $8,806.61 $-95.48
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $394.54 22 $8,679.88
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $391.57 22 $8,614.54 $8,741.27 $-65.34
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $384.35 22 $8,455.70
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $390.26 22 $8,585.72 $8,871.29 +$130.02
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $394.99 22 $8,689.82
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $391.59 22 $8,614.98 $8,796.45 $-74.84
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $384.66 22 $8,462.52
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $381.09 22 $8,383.98 $8,717.91 $-78.54
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,717.91
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,282.09
Total Return: -12.82%
Back to Nina Micro