Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:35:00

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 23.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 23.6

30-Day Momentum

10
-0.7%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,789.48
Current Value
$12,922.31
Period P&L
$132.79
Max Drawdown
-17.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
5 / 9
Best Trade
+2.14%
Worst Trade
-1.82%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
8.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$358,408.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$132.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$132.79
Gross Return
+1.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,789.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:00pm ET $195.05 66 $12,872.98
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $192.94 66 $12,734.04 $12,876.81 $-138.94
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET $190.46 67 $12,761.09
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:35am ET $193.99 67 $12,997.00 $13,112.72 +$235.91
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $197.74 66 $13,050.84
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $195.77 66 $12,920.82 $12,982.70 $-130.02
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET $198.28 65 $12,888.20
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:35am ET $196.66 65 $12,782.90 $12,877.40 $-105.30
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET $195.71 65 $12,721.15
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $192.15 65 $12,489.75 $12,646.00 $-231.40
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $195.68 64 $12,523.52
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:00am ET $198.93 64 $12,731.20 $12,853.68 +$207.68
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $202.04 63 $12,728.52
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET $206.37 63 $13,001.31 $13,126.47 +$272.79
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET $208.57 62 $12,931.03
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 10:55am ET $206.72 62 $12,816.64 $13,012.08 $-114.39
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $211.21 61 $12,883.81
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 11:05am ET $209.54 61 $12,782.24 $12,910.51 $-101.57
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 11:05am ET $206.11 62 $12,778.81
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $202.99 62 $12,585.38 $12,717.08 $-193.43
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $204.93 62 $12,705.35
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $203.15 62 $12,594.99 $12,606.72 $-110.36
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $206.15 61 $12,574.85
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:05am ET $209.85 61 $12,801.15 $12,833.03 +$226.31
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:05am ET $206.88 62 $12,826.56
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $210.26 62 $13,036.43 $13,042.90 +$209.87
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $209.75 62 $13,004.50
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 2:30pm ET $207.80 62 $12,883.91 $12,922.31 $-120.59
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,922.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,922.31
Total Return: +29.22%
Back to Nina Micro