Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 17:26:49

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

73
+11.2%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
16
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 73.0 Conf: 1.00×
Accelerating (+68 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,570.61
Current Value
$8,419.73
Period P&L
$849.08
Max Drawdown
-26.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
10 / 6
Best Trade
+2.72%
Worst Trade
-1.98%
Avg Trade Return
+0.69%
Avg Hold Time
5.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$256,198.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$849.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$849.08
Gross Return
+11.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $7,570.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:50pm ET $190.72 39 $7,438.08
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $195.04 39 $7,606.37 $7,738.94 +$168.29
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $191.78 40 $7,671.20
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:25am ET $194.76 40 $7,790.20 $7,857.94 +$119.00
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:20am ET $189.12 41 $7,753.72
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $194.25 41 $7,964.25 $8,068.47 +$210.53
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $221.57 36 $7,976.52
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $225.40 36 $8,114.40 $8,206.35 +$137.88
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.76 33 $8,176.24
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $244.72 33 $8,075.76 $8,105.87 $-100.48
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $240.00 33 $7,920.00
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $236.12 33 $7,792.04 $7,977.91 $-127.96
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET $225.75 35 $7,901.25
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $229.58 35 $8,035.30 $8,111.96 +$134.05
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $222.71 36 $8,017.74
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $220.89 36 $7,952.04 $8,046.26 $-65.70
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:05am ET $209.90 38 $7,976.20
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:50am ET $213.73 38 $8,121.74 $8,191.80 +$145.54
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $207.75 39 $8,102.25
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $205.38 39 $8,009.82 $8,099.37 $-92.43
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:30am ET $205.69 39 $8,021.91
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $203.70 39 $7,944.30 $8,021.76 $-77.61
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $176.28 45 $7,932.60
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $179.94 45 $8,097.30 $8,186.46 +$164.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:45pm ET $181.15 45 $8,151.97
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:40pm ET $183.90 45 $8,275.50 $8,309.98 +$123.52
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $192.69 43 $8,285.67
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $188.88 43 $8,121.84 $8,146.15 $-163.83
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $184.90 44 $8,135.82
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET $188.07 44 $8,275.08 $8,285.41 +$139.26
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $178.55 46 $8,213.53
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:05am ET $181.48 46 $8,347.85 $8,419.73 +$134.32
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,419.73
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,580.27
Total Return: -15.80%
Back to Nina Micro